Rwanda - Economic Forecasts - 2018-2020 Outlook

This page has economic forecasts for Rwanda including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Rwanda economy.


Overview Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
GDP Growth Rate 0.10 1.6 2.8 1.4 1.5 1.4 percent
Unemployment Rate 16.00 16 16 15 15 16 percent
Inflation Rate 0.60 1.1 2 1.9 1.8 5 percent
Interest Rate 5.50 5.5 5.5 5 5 6 percent
Balance of Trade -108.44 -109 -109 -109 -109 -109 USD Million
Government Debt to GDP 40.20 35 35 38 38 40 percent
MARKETS Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Currency 881.21
893 908 924 939 1004
GDP Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
GDP Growth Rate 0.10
percent
1.6 2.8 1.4 1.5 1.4
GDP Annual Growth Rate 6.70
percent
6 7.2 7.3 7.4 6.6
GDP 9.14
USD Billion
9.22 9.4 8.9 8.9 10.2
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 552.00
RWF Billion
517 577 598 593 661
GDP per capita 765.20
USD
776 779 788 788 819
GDP per capita PPP 1854.20
USD
1873 1889 1892 1892 1985
GDP Constant Prices 1752.00
RWF Billion
1774 1868 1879 1882 2141
Gdp From Agriculture 481.00
RWF Billion
471 506 519 517 580
Gdp From Construction 124.00
RWF Billion
121 130 129 133 149
Gdp From Manufacturing 111.00
RWF Billion
104 108 111 119 124
Gdp From Mining 40.00
RWF Billion
59.74 62.18 37.56 42.96 71.25
Gdp From Public Administration 81.00
RWF Billion
96.82 78.26 91.21 86.99 89.68
Gdp From Services 857.00
RWF Billion
877 917 931 920 1050
Gdp From Transport 74.00
RWF Billion
76.22 77.18 82.62 79.48 88.45
LABOUR Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 16.00
percent
16 16 15 15 16
Population 12.20
Million
11.8 11.8 12.56 12.63 12.6
PRICES Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Inflation Rate 0.60
percent
1.1 2 1.9 1.8 5
Core Inflation Rate 2.00
percent
1.84 1.7 1.81 2.05 2.29
Food Inflation -6.30
percent
-3.33 2.52 2.2 3 2.5
Inflation Rate Mom 0.50
percent
1.19 0.01 0.58 0.3 0.39
Producer Prices 122.77
Index Points
128 128 129 129 143
Producer Prices Change -0.10
percent
3 4 5 5.3 5.5
Consumer Price Index Cpi 121.74
Index Points
124 121 123 124 129
Cpi Housing Utilities 120.76
Index Points
120 120 120 120 120
CPI Transportation 116.89
Index Points
107 110 111 118 118
Gdp Deflator 114.00
Index Points
115 116 117 118 129
MONEY Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Interest Rate 5.50
percent
5.5 5.5 5 5 6
Deposit Interest Rate 5.95
percent
5.95 5.95 5.45 5.45 6.45
Lending Rate 17.54
percent
17.11 17.13 17.14 17.14 17.14
Interbank Rate 5.64
percent
5.72 5.77 5.82 5.85 5.93
Money Supply M1 858.70
RWF Billion
801 801 801 801 801
Money Supply M2 1473.10
RWF Billion
1429 1428 1428 1428 1428
Money Supply M3 1933.80
RWF Billion
1741 1741 1741 1741 1741
TRADE Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Balance of Trade -108.44
USD Million
-109 -109 -109 -109 -109
Exports 80.29
USD Million
79.88 79.87 79.87 79.87 79.87
Imports 188.73
USD Million
189 189 189 189 189
Current Account -621.56
USD Million
-885 -752 -721 -690 -635
Current Account to GDP -14.10
percent
-12.6 -12.6 -11 -11 -10.5
Capital Flows -365.90
USD Million
-306 -218 -252 -286 -11.42
Terrorism Index 1.93
2.64 2.52 2.59 2.65 2.34
External Debt 2453.00
USD Million
2401 2496 2490 2485 2451
Foreign Direct Investment 254.50
USD Million
158 135 160 184 236
GOVERNMENT Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Government Debt to GDP 40.20
percent
35 35 38 38 40
Government Budget -4.80
percent of GDP
-4.03 -3.76 -4.16 -4.55 -5.07
Government Spending 254.00
RWF Billion
279 293 265 273 335
Military Expenditure 114.00
USD Million
112 113 112 111 105
BUSINESS Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Industrial Production 7.00
percent
9.19 8.13 8.18 8.12 8.11
Manufacturing Production 7.00
percent
6.22 6.17 6.25 6.61 6.36
Internet Speed 7689.31
KBps
9007 8545 9112 8535 8794
IP Addresses 10599.00
IP
11495 11954 11750 11980 12071
Ease of Doing Business 41.00
58 67 67 66 56
Changes In Inventories 15.00
RWF Billion
11.61 10.67 13.86 10.95 11.96
Competitiveness Index 4.35
Points
4.37 4.37 4.31 4.28 4.2
Competitiveness Rank 58.00
51 51 58 60 60
Corruption Index 55.00
Points
55 55 55 55 56
Corruption Rank 48.00
49 48 48 48 48
CONSUMER Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Consumer Spending 1322.00
RWF Billion
1361 1305 1454 1420 1495
TAXES Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 30.00
percent
30 30 30 30 30
Personal Income Tax Rate 30.00
percent
30 30 30 30 30
Sales Tax Rate 18.00
percent
18 18 18 18 18
Social Security Rate 8.00
percent
8 8 8 8 8
Social Security Rate For Companies 5.00
percent
5 5 5 5 5
Social Security Rate For Employees 3.00
percent
3 3 3 3 3
CLIMATE Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Temperature 21.08
celsius
19.7 19.01 19.33 20.02 19.71