Kyrgyzstan - Economic Forecasts - 2018-2020 Outlook

This page has economic forecasts for Kyrgyzstan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Kyrgyzstan economy.


Overview Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.40 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.9 percent
Inflation Rate 2.00 5.5 6 6.5 6.2 5.3 percent
Interest Rate 5.00 5 5 5 5 6 percent
Balance of Trade -295.80 -242 -242 -187 -243 -192 USD Million
Government Debt to GDP 53.90 65 65 65 60 58 percent
MARKETS Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Currency 68.35
68.83 69.37 69.91 70.46 72.68
GDP Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 1.30
percent
5.3 5.5 5.7 4.8 5.4
GDP 6.55
USD Billion
6.55 6.47 6.4 6.5 6.8
GDP Constant Prices 520958.60
KGS Million
482303 483219 514151 480013 568469
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 63486.70
KGS Million
40999 41076 52945 40804 58539
GDP per capita 1038.30
USD
1039 1003 1003 1089 1095
GDP per capita PPP 3292.00
USD
3295 3327 3183 3233 3441
LABOUR Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.40
percent
2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.9
Unemployed Persons 57.60
Thousand
61.83 60.29 58.5 61.18 61.42
Minimum Wages 1200.00
KGS/Month
1200 1200 1200 1250 1300
Population 6.14
Million
6.19 6.22 6.25 6.28 6.56
Employed Persons 534847.00
536414 532676 537875 539082 536792
Wages 14494.00
KGS/Month
17300 15700 21600 16700 23000
Wages In Manufacturing 18303.88
KGS/Month
12713 14602 16000 15398 17400
PRICES Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Inflation Rate 2.00
percent
5.5 6 6.5 6.2 5.3
Core Inflation Rate 3.00
percent
2.33 2.15 2.09 2.07 2.06
Inflation Rate Mom -0.50
percent
0.54 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.54
Producer Prices 156.20
Index Points
154 159 154 153 167
Producer Prices Change 4.30
percent
1.53 4.54 1 2.7 4.7
Food Inflation -2.10
percent
2.11 2.99 3.6 3.61 3.01
GDP Deflator 104.60
Index Points
103 103 103 104 104
Consumer Price Index Cpi 258.80
Index Points
269 266 274 276 303
MONEY Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Interest Rate 5.00
percent
5 5 5 5 6
Money Supply M0 84450.90
KGS Million
72865 64157 61800 69241 64900
Foreign Exchange Reserves 2176.49
USD Million
2082 2071 3300 2080 4200
Deposit Interest Rate 2.75
percent
2.43 1.35 0.27 0.56 6.49
Money Supply M1 118144.10
KGS Million
111783 108250 80000 108067 84400
Money Supply M2 142859.10
KGS Million
134910 130899 91500 129419 94600
TRADE Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Balance of Trade -295.80
USD Million
-242 -242 -187 -243 -192
Exports 140.90
USD Million
146 146 125 145 220
Imports 436.70
USD Million
388 388 312 388 412
Current Account 15.40
USD Million
-73.9 -73.9 -73.9 -73.9 -73.9
Current Account to GDP -12.00
percent
-9 -9 -9 -10 -15.38
Gold Reserves 7.20
Tonnes
7.35 7.96 8.16 8.61 10.3
Tourist Arrivals 1273.20
Thousand
1250 1275 1300 1300 1300
Remittances 161.70
USD Million
111 110 144 114 210
Terrorism Index 1.99
1.51 1.57 1.64 1.6 1.36
Foreign Direct Investment -65.10
USD Million
181 142 196 178 249
External Debt 8157.10
KGS Million
8003 8003 8003 8003 8003
Crude Oil Production 1.00
BBL/D/1K
1 1 1 1 1
GOVERNMENT Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Government Debt to GDP 53.90
percent
65 65 65 60 58
Government Budget -4.60
percent of GDP
-3.86 -3.89 -3.93 -3.69 -1.63
Government Revenues 32374309.70
KGS Thousand
110810127 74080448 134000000 90772652 144000000
Government Debt 4080.60
USD Million
3920 3920 3920 3920 3920
Fiscal Expenditure 31336007.70
KGS Thousand
68303473 73507760 58714267 61341222 62728679
Military Expenditure 211.29
USD Million
222 218 215 215 197
Government Spending 90482.10
KGS Million
42193 62957 94147 62539 104093
Government Budget Value -0.02
KGS Billion
42506654 572688 73414914 29431430 81271321
BUSINESS Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Industrial Production -9.40
percent
11.43 9.74 9.93 10.16 10.08
Manufacturing Production -9.00
percent
9.21 6.95 7.55 7.88 7.68
Internet Speed 3814.45
KBps
4160 4185 4212 4245 4365
IP Addresses 125795.00
IP
119734 118743 118747 118744 116929
Leading Economic Index 1.30
percent
3.8 4.63 4.5 5.26 6.4
Mining Production -34.20
percent
90.54 64.75 64.96 70.5 68.85
Ease of Doing Business 77.00
77 77 77 77 77
Corruption Index 29.00
Points
29 29 29 29 29
Corruption Rank 135.00
131 131 131 132 132
Changes In Inventories -7456.00
KGS Million
3580 3580 3580 3580 3580
Competitiveness Index 3.90
Points
3.78 3.78 3.78 3.84 3.79
Competitiveness Rank 102.00
106 106 106 106 106
CONSUMER Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 2.30
percent
4.76 4.92 11.4 5.12 10.5
Consumer Confidence 30.70
Index Points
29.15 29.15 29.15 29.15 29.15
Consumer Spending 118136.30
KGS Million
94765 133457 124913 132572 138110
HOUSING Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Housing Starts 612.00
805 778 751 746 649
TAXES Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Sales Tax Rate 12.00
percent
12 12 12 12 12
CLIMATE Actual Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Precipitation 21.76
mm
49.13 14.94 29.38 32.17 32.09
Temperature -8.56
celsius
9.99 14.5 -3.29 -8.33 3.29