Kyrgyzstan - Economic Forecasts - 2018-2020 Outlook

This page has economic forecasts for Kyrgyzstan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Kyrgyzstan economy.


Overview Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.40 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.9 percent
Inflation Rate 3.20 4.6 5.5 6 6.5 5.3 percent
Interest Rate 5.00 5 5 5 5 6 percent
Balance of Trade -144.20 -200 -191 -184 -187 -192 USD Million
Government Debt to GDP 56.60 65 65 59.9 65 58 percent
MARKETS Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Currency 68.05
69.82 70.36 70.9 71.45 73.68
GDP Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 5.00
percent
5.2 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.4
GDP 6.55
USD Billion
6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.8
GDP Constant Prices 458027.40
KGS Million
460399 468194 475988 483782 507787
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 38935.00
KGS Million
25665 37257 39549 44276 40804
GDP per capita 1038.30
USD
1008 1015 1021 1003 898
GDP per capita PPP 3292.00
USD
3242 3255 3267 3183 3441
LABOUR Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.40
percent
2.4 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.9
Unemployed Persons 57.60
Thousand
54.33 54.22 54.87 58.5 60.46
Minimum Wages 1200.00
KGS/Month
1200 1200 1200 1200 1300
Population 6.14
Million
6.16 6.19 6.23 6.26 6.69
Employed Persons 540229.00
539996 539798 539608 539420 537306
Wages 14917.00
KGS/Month
14970 14952 14920 19200 21700
Wages In Manufacturing 15538.40
KGS/Month
14768 14771 14780 16000 17400
PRICES Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Inflation Rate 3.20
percent
4.6 5.5 6 6.5 5.3
Core Inflation Rate 2.40
percent
3.24 3.96 4.45 4.73 4.8
Inflation Rate Mom 0.60
percent
0.55 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.56
Producer Prices 152.20
Index Points
152 152 151 151 147
Producer Prices Change 4.70
percent
6.43 7.26 7.87 1 4.7
Food Inflation 2.70
percent
4.02 5.22 6.04 6.56 7.37
GDP Deflator 102.80
Index Points
104 105 106 106 109
Consumer Price Index Cpi 257.20
Index Points
260 260 260 260 255
MONEY Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Interest Rate 5.00
percent
5 5 5 5 6
Money Supply M0 80075.70
KGS Million
79110 78472 77889 61800 64900
Foreign Exchange Reserves 2102.77
USD Million
2071 2053 2036 3300 4200
Deposit Interest Rate 2.30
percent
3.5 2.43 1.35 0.27 6.49
Money Supply M1 110336.50
KGS Million
109198 108643 108190 80000 84400
Money Supply M2 134136.20
KGS Million
88900 88900 88900 91500 94600
TRADE Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Balance of Trade -144.20
USD Million
-200 -191 -184 -187 -192
Exports 240.40
USD Million
191 178 167 125 220
Imports 384.60
USD Million
386 378 370 312 412
Current Account -121.60
USD Million
-147 -154 -159 -164 -184
Current Account to GDP -9.60
percent
-9 -9 -9.11 -9 -15.66
Gold Reserves 6.36
Tonnes
7.56 7.58 8.68 8.71 12.18
Tourist Arrivals 1265.10
Thousand
1200 1200 1200 1200 1000
Remittances 205.20
USD Million
162 146 137 144 210
Terrorism Index 1.99
1.14 1.11 1.08 1.05 1.38
Foreign Direct Investment 154.40
USD Million
137 200 164 217 260
External Debt 8067.00
KGS Million
8095 8081 8073 8053 7791
Crude Oil Production 1.00
BBL/D/1K
1.04 1.06 1.09 1.11 1.27
GOVERNMENT Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Government Debt to GDP 56.60
percent
65 65 59.9 65 58
Government Budget -4.60
percent of GDP
-3.82 -3.86 -3.89 -3.93 -1.63
Government Revenues 131805671.90
KGS Thousand
46439865 46066018 53528614 134000000 144000000
Government Debt 3968.10
USD Million
3998 3989 3982 3971 3872
Fiscal Expenditure 142090977.50
KGS Thousand
45519317 55517471 66050878 62769864 62060111
Military Expenditure 212.30
USD Million
226 222 218 215 197
Government Spending 40069.80
KGS Million
16818 39514 55969 82689 81487
Government Budget Value -17.39
KGS Billion
-2 -6 -16 -20 -17
BUSINESS Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Industrial Production 2.70
percent
5.11 5.17 5.05 5.01 5
Manufacturing Production 1.40
percent
5.08 5.8 5.76 5.73 5.72
Internet Speed 3814.45
KBps
3755 3704 3648 3592 3014
IP Addresses 125795.00
IP
116712 114379 112919 111314 96469
Leading Economic Index 2.30
percent
2.55 3.46 4.09 4.5 6.4
Mining Production 60.20
percent
30.85 22.94 19.6 18.1 16.82
Ease of Doing Business 77.00
66 66 65 65 70
Corruption Index 28.00
Points
28 27 27 27 20
Corruption Rank 136.00
118 120 122 124 119
Changes In Inventories 5990.70
KGS Million
736 5012 191 -3169 -211
Competitiveness Index 3.90
Points
3.78 3.78 3.78 3.78 3.79
Competitiveness Rank 102.00
112 112 112 112 113
CONSUMER Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 3.30
percent
5.62 5.18 5.16 11.4 10.5
Consumer Confidence 30.70
Index Points
30.37 29.93 30.34 30.1 15.83
Consumer Spending 89995.60
KGS Million
86808 88638 87873 85580 78470
HOUSING Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Housing Starts 877.00
724 655 622 606 591
TAXES Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Sales Tax Rate 12.00
percent
12 12 12 12 12
CLIMATE Actual Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Precipitation 21.76
mm
32.11 49.13 14.94 29.38 32.09
Temperature -8.56
celsius
-8.31 9.99 14.5 -3.29 3.29