Markets Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
Stock Market (points) 1533.60 1210 1150 1150 1150 1080
Currency 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38
Overview Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 2.73 2.1 2.4 2.2 2.9 3.1
Unemployment Rate (%) 3.90 3.9 3.9 4 4 4
Inflation Rate (%) 0.20 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.1
Interest Rate (%) 2.50 2.5 2.5 2.25 2.25 2.5
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) -320.30 -200 -200 500 500 500
Current Account (BHD Million ) -834.70 -490 -490 -450 -450 -450
Current Account to GDP (%) -5.90 -3.3 -3.3 -2.6 -2.6 -2.6
Government Debt to GDP (%) 93.40 99 99 102 102 102
Government Budget (% of GDP) -11.70 -8.5 -8.5 -7.6 -7.6 -7.6
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
GDP Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 2.73 2.1 2.4 2.2 2.9 3.1
GDP (USD Billion) 37.75 39.3 39.3 40.5 40.5 40.5
GDP Constant Prices (BHD Million) 3154.91 3265 3313 3224 3246 3416
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (BHD Million) 3371.00 3442 3452 3445 3469 3559
GDP per capita (USD) 21438.60 22352 22352 22790 22790 22790
GDP per capita PPP (USD) 41973.30 43652 43652 44002 44002 44002
GDP From Agriculture (BHD Million) 8.93 9.63 9.37 9.13 9.19 9.66
GDP From Construction (BHD Million) 234.74 236 238 240 242 246
GDP From Manufacturing (BDT Million) 444.22 469 471 454 457 485
GDP From Mining (BHD Million) 553.03 635 617 565 569 636
GDP From Public Administration (BHD Million) 399.81 396 447 409 411 461
GDP From Services (BHD Million) 1857.22 1853 1917 1898 1911 1977
GDP From Transport (BHD Million) 240.79 243 244 246 248 252
GDP From Utilities (BHD Million) 56.80 63 60.42 58.05 58.45 62.29
Labour Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
Unemployment Rate (%) 3.90 3.9 3.9 4 4 4
Population (Million) 1.50 1.62 1.58 1.66 1.66 1.66
Prices Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
Inflation Rate (%) 0.20 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.1
Consumer Price Index CPI (Index Points) 133.00 134 134 137 137 138
Inflation Rate Mom (%) 0.20 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3
CPI Housing Utilities (Index Points) 100.00 121 122 127 103 125
CPI Transportation (Index Points) 100.00 139 139 142 103 144
Food Inflation (%) -0.50 3.2 3.5 3.1 3.3 2.9
Money Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
Interest Rate (%) 2.50 2.5 2.5 2.25 2.25 2.5
Interbank Rate (%) 3.07 3.1 3.1 2.85 2.85 3.1
Money Supply M2 (BHD Million) 11832.00 11490 11510 11600 11625 11625
Loan Growth (%) 6.70 7.5 8.3 10 10.4 11.2
Loans To Private Sector (BHD Million) 5241.80 5047 5219 5205 5327 5380
Foreign Exchange Reserves (BHD Million ) 1273.00 613 654 654 654 850
Central Bank Balance Sheet (BHD Million) 2895.10 2720 2790 2790 2790 2910
Banks Balance Sheet (USD Million) 203382.50 190760 191000 191000 191000 192500
Trade Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) -320.30 -200 -200 500 500 500
Current Account (BHD Million ) -834.70 -490 -490 -450 -450 -450
Current Account to GDP (%) -5.90 -3.3 -3.3 -2.6 -2.6 -2.6
Imports (BHD Million) 7185.40 7200 7200 6500 6500 6500
Exports (BHD Million) 6865.10 7000 7000 7200 7200 7200
Foreign Direct Investment (BHD Million) 10902.70 275 275 310 310 310
Government Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
Government Debt to GDP (%) 93.40 99 99 102 102 102
Government Budget (% of GDP) -11.70 -8.5 -8.5 -7.6 -7.6 -7.6
Government Spending (BHD Million) 1890.00 1930 1935 1932 1945 1995
Government Debt (BHD Million) 11457.00 12000 12300 12300 12300 13500
Taxes Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Social Security Rate (%) 19.00 19 19 19 19 19
Social Security Rate For Companies (%) 12.00 12 12 12 12 12
Social Security Rate For Employees (%) 7.00 7 7 7 7 7
Business Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
Changes in Inventories (BHD Million) 647.00 223 223 253 253 253
Car Registrations (Hundreds) 429.00 478 478 508 508 508
Consumer Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2020
Consumer Spending (BHD Million) 4729.70 4829 4843 4834 4867 4993
Consumer Credit (BHD Million) 4303.30 4143 4262 4316 4416 4394
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 0.37 0.36 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.33
Bank Lending Rate (%) 5.07 5.22 5.22 4.97 4.97 5.22


This page has economic forecasts for Bahrain including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bahrain economy.