Markets Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
Stock Market (points) 1341.22 1210 1210 1150 1150 1080
Currency 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38
Overview Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 1.60 1.3 0.8 2.1 2.1 2.8
Unemployment Rate (%) 3.70 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.5
Inflation Rate (%) 0.70 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.5
Interest Rate (%) 2.75 2.75 3 3 3.25 3.75
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) -263.20 -200 -200 -200 -200 500
Current Account (BHD Million ) -522.10 -61.6 -61.6 -61.6 -61.6 95.5
Current Account to GDP (%) -4.60 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 1.5
Government Debt to GDP (%) 90.60 99 99 99 99 102
Government Budget (% of GDP) -13.20 -8.5 -8.5 -8.5 -8.5 -6
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
GDP Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 1.60 1.3 0.8 2.1 2.1 2.8
GDP (USD Billion) 35.31 36.75 36.75 36.75 36.75 37
GDP Constant Prices (BHD Million) 3180.60 3071 3241 3214 3247 3338
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (BHD Million) 3043.30 3063 3055 3075 3107 3194
GDP per capita (USD) 22111.50 22352 22352 22352 22352 22790
GDP per capita PPP (USD) 43290.70 43652 43652 43652 43652 44002
GDP From Agriculture (BHD Million) 8.87 9.24 8.91 8.96 9.06 9.31
GDP From Construction (BHD Million) 230.68 231 232 235 235 241
GDP From Manufacturing (BDT Million) 466.84 468 468 471 476 490
GDP From Mining (BHD Million) 622.24 490 597 604 604 621
GDP From Public Administration (BHD Million) 387.21 409 446 451 451 464
GDP From Services (BHD Million) 1804.70 1797 1864 1877 1896 1949
GDP From Transport (BHD Million) 229.17 223 230 231 234 240
GDP From Utilities (BHD Million) 47.30 42.68 44.68 44.97 45.43 46.71
Labour Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
Unemployment Rate (%) 3.70 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.5
Employed Persons 647655.00 680000 687000 691000 705000 735000
Population (Million) 1.50 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.69
Prices Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
Inflation Rate (%) 0.70 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.5
Consumer Price Index CPI (Index Points) 131.40 136 137 136 136 140
GDP Deflator (Index Points) 101.26 103 103 103 103 104
Inflation Rate Mom (%) 0.00 1.7 0.15 0.16 1.7 1.8
CPI Housing Utilities (Index Points) 118.90 122 122 123 123 127
CPI Transportation (Index Points) 137.40 139 140 141 142 147
Food Inflation (%) 2.50 1.5 2.9 3.2 3.5 2.9
Money Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
Interest Rate (%) 2.75 2.75 3 3 3.25 3.75
Money Supply M0 (BHD Million) 535.60 624 636 675 698 745
Interbank Rate (%) 3.95 3.95 4.2 4.2 4.45 4.45
Money Supply M2 (BHD Million) 10732.00 10720 10755 10780 10800 10900
Deposit Interest Rate (%) 1.00 1 1.25 1.25 1.5 1.5
Loan Growth (%) 9.00 10.2 10.3 10.3 10.4 11.2
Loans To Private Sector (BHD Million) 5052.10 5500 5700 5900 6100 6750
Money Supply M3 (BHD Million) 12504.00 12570 12620 12690 12760 12850
Money Supply M1 (BHD Million) 3362.00 3400 3430 3460 3490 3550
Foreign Exchange Reserves (BHD Million ) 654.20 745 826 613 654 850
Central Bank Balance Sheet (BHD Million) 2424.60 2610 2680 2720 2790 2910
Banks Balance Sheet (USD Million) 192140.70 190700 190800 190760 191000 192500
Trade Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) -263.20 -200 -200 -200 -200 500
Current Account (BHD Million ) -522.10 -61.6 -61.6 -61.6 -61.6 95.5
Current Account to GDP (%) -4.60 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 1.5
Imports (BHD Million) 6044.60 7200 7200 7200 7200 6500
Exports (BHD Million) 5781.40 7000 7000 7000 7000 7000
Foreign Direct Investment (BHD Million) 195.10 275 275 275 275 310
Capital Flows (BHD Million ) 362.90 -185 -185 -185 -185 -330
Government Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
Government Debt to GDP (%) 90.60 99 99 99 99 102
Government Budget (% of GDP) -13.20 -8.5 -8.5 -8.5 -8.5 -6
Government Spending (BHD Million) 1833.00 1857 1848 1871 1871 1924
Government Debt (BHD Million) 11501.00 11300 11800 12000 12300 13500
Military Expenditure (USD Million) 1384.03 1351 1330 1330 1330 1290
Government Budget Value (BHD Million) -1505.10 -1565 -1565 -1565 -1565 -1640
Government Revenues (BHD Million) 2177.50 2295 2295 2295 2295 2350
Fiscal Expenditure (BHD Million) 3682.50 3860 3860 3860 3860 3990
Taxes Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Social Security Rate (%) 19.00 19 19 19 19 19
Social Security Rate For Companies (%) 12.00 12 12 12 12 12
Social Security Rate For Employees (%) 7.00 7 7 7 7 7
Business Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
Changes in Inventories (BHD Million) 197.00 223 223 223 223 253
Car Registrations (Hundreds) 428.00 478 478 478 478 508
Consumer Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020
Consumer Spending (BHD Million) 4798.90 4830 4818 4849 4900 5037
Consumer Credit (BHD Million) 4132.30 4000 4020 4045 4065 4500
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 0.37 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33
Bank Lending Rate (%) 5.35 5.35 5.6 5.6 5.85 5.85


This page has economic forecasts for Bahrain including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bahrain economy.