Mozambican Economy Stuck in Recession

The economy of Mozambique grew by 4.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025, following a 0.9% contraction in the previous period. This marks the first period of economic expansion since the third quarter of 2024, indicating the country has emerged from a technical recession it experienced earlier. Growth was primarily driven by the secondary sector, which expanded by 4.87%, supported by a sharp 13.58% increase in manufacturing and a 4.01% rise in construction, although electricity, gas, and water supply contracted by 17.56%. The primary sector grew by 4.55%, led by mining and quarrying (+6.64%), while agriculture, livestock, forestry, and related activities rose 2.89%, and fishing increased 1.12%. Meanwhile, the tertiary sector advanced 4.09%, underpinned by strong growth in hotels and restaurants (+21.72%) and financial services (+7.29%), alongside gains in transport, storage, information and communications (+4.47%), and trade and repair services (+4.13%).

Mozambique’s GDP fell 0.9% year-on-year in Q3 2025, the same rate as the previous three-month period, extending the economy’s contraction into a fourth consecutive quarter. The secondary and tertiary sectors were the most affected, reflecting the lingering effects of post-election tensions. On the demand side, reduced private consumption and lower investment weighed on overall economic activity.

The economy of Mozambique contracted by 0.9% year-on-year in Q2 2025, following a 3.9% slump in the previous three-month period, keeping the country in recession. The secondary sector led the decline (-13.9%), driven by sharp falls in utilities (-29.4%), manufacturing (-9.4%), and construction (-2.2%). The tertiary sector also contributed negatively, shrinking 1.9%, largely due to hotels and restaurants (-11.3%); trade and repair services (-5.9%); transport, storage, and supporting activities and information and communication (-3.4%). The primary sector, by contrast, recorded positive growth of 2.9%, driven primarily by the mining industry, which rose 6.8%, and fisheries, up 3.9%. Agriculture, livestock, hunting, forestry, and related activities expanded by 1.1%.