Bangladesh | Economic Forecasts | 2017-2020 Outlook

This page has economic forecasts for Bangladesh including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bangladesh economy.


Overview Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
GDP Growth Rate 7.05 7.5 7.2 7.2 6.9 6.8 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 4.30 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.8 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 5.40 5.6 4.6 5.4 5.2 4.8 percent [+]
Interest Rate 6.75 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -80.20 -70 -74 -90 -62 -100 BDT Billion [+]
Government Debt to GDP 27.20 28 28 28 27 25.5 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Currency 80.64 81.04 81.84 84.25 83.45 96.29 [+]
Stock Market 5413.81 5630 5580 5410 5460 4550 points [+]
GDP Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
GDP Growth Rate 7.05 7.5 7.2 7.2 6.9 6.8 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.11 7.5 7.2 7.2 6.9 6.8 percent [+]
GDP 195.08 245 245 245 267 305 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 8830.54 9431 9431 9431 10082 11489 BDT Billion [+]
Gross National Product 9350.98 9940 9940 9940 10576 11906 BDT Billion [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 2829687.00 3084359 3084359 3084359 3346529 3874448 BDT Million [+]
GDP per capita 972.88 992 1005 1018 1030 1198 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 3136.60 3205 3249 3293 3331 3888 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 9922.80 10094 10094 10094 10326 10807 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Construction 6172.90 6728 6728 6728 7321 8634 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 17600.10 19448 19448 19448 21393 26085 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Mining 1489.30 1638 1638 1638 1786 2141 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 3197.10 3549 3549 3549 3921 4672 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Services 118665.00 8041 8041 8041 8306 8863 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Transport 9636.10 10311 10311 10311 11012 12572 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Utilities 224585.00 232748 239224 245701 266818 309050 BDT Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 4.30 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.8 percent [+]
Employed Persons 54.10 67 67 67 69 74 Million [+]
Wages 7388.40 8900 8900 8900 9300 10300 BDT/Month [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 243.00 248 258 269 272 260 Index Points [+]
Population 159.90 161 162 162 162 168 Million [+]
Retirement Age Men 59.00 59 59 59 59 61 [+]
Retirement Age Women 59.00 59 59 59 59 61 [+]
Living Wage Family 16128.70 16400 16600 16800 16900 17400 BDT/Month [+]
Living Wage Individual 8927.30 9000 9100 9200 9300 10000 BDT/Month [+]
PRICES Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Inflation Rate 5.40 5.6 4.6 5.4 5.2 4.8 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 235.29 238 241 244 247 279 Index Points [+]
GDP Deflator 174.42 191 191 191 203 231 percent [+]
Producer Prices 2180.00 2138 2138 2138 2138 2138 Index Points [+]
Export Prices 182.34 203 203 203 212 235 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 211.90 200 203 206 205 231 Index Points [+]
Food Inflation 6.89 5.8 4.4 4.1 4.5 4.8 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.38 0.3 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 percent [+]
Cpi Transportation 212.27 214 214 215 215 244 Index Points [+]
MONEY Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Interest Rate 6.75 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6 percent [+]
Interbank Rate 3.76 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.5 4 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 1235.08 1258 1287 1317 1400 1917 BDT Billion [+]
Money Supply M1 2007113.00 2055120 2083605 2093685 2007496 2353520 BDT Million [+]
Money Supply M2 9578.87 9896 10134 10371 10608 13180 BDT Billion [+]
Money Supply M3 11676800.00 12015858 12362304 12708574 13053934 16791136 BDT Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 32518.80 33735 32264 35156 34810 49000 USD Million [+]
Loans to Private Sector 6823.65 7157 7386 7616 7847 10343 BDT Billion [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 6.20 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.5 6 percent [+]
TRADE Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Balance of Trade -80.20 -70 -74 -90 -62 -100 BDT Billion [+]
Exports 194.23 220 196 210 228 270 BDT Billion [+]
Imports 274.39 290 270 300 290 370 BDT Billion [+]
Current Account -432.00 810 -440 -600 1200 120 USD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP 1.70 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.8 0.9 percent [+]
Terms of Trade 86.05 90 90 90 92 93 Index Points [+]
Capital Flows 0.33 4.2 3.8 5.6 3.8 10.5 BDT Billion [+]
Remittances 1092.64 1500 1100 960 1480 1050 USD Million [+]
Gold Reserves 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 Tonnes [+]
Terrorism Index 6.48 6.19 6.41 6.63 6.8 7.07 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 2003.53 2300 2300 2300 2500 3200 USD Million [+]
Crude Oil Production 4.00 4 4 4 4 4 BBL/D/1K [+]
External Debt 25.96 28 28 28 31 37 USD Billion [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Government Debt to GDP 27.20 28 28 28 27 25.5 percent [+]
Government Budget -4.70 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5 -4.3 -4 percent of GDP [+]
Government Budget Value -82137.00 -92000 -92000 -92000 -100000 -140000 BDT Billion [+]
Government Spending 478173.00 523599 523599 523599 574389 674309 BDT Billion [+]
Government Revenues 182427.00 200000 200000 200000 230000 260000 BDT Billion [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 264564.00 280000 280000 280000 310000 370000 BDT Billion [+]
Military Expenditure 2517.80 2572 2593 2614 2632 2931 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Manufacturing Production 9.80 6.1 9.1 4.7 7.2 5.5 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 55.00 56 57 58 59 62 percent [+]
Mining Production 2.20 4.1 3.9 1.8 2.2 0.9 percent [+]
Corruption Index 26.00 24 25 25 24 23 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 145.00 144 146 149 138 131 [+]
Competitiveness Index 3.80 3.9 3.9 3.9 4 4.2 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 106.00 105 105 105 103 100 [+]
Business Confidence 9.96 10 11 12 11 14 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 176.00 170 170 170 165 157 [+]
Electricity Production 3973.00 5500 5300 4200 5200 5500 Gigawatt-hour [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Consumer Spending 5692703.00 6005802 6005802 6005802 6348132 6978832 BDT Million [+]
Disposable Personal Income 52321.01 54599 54376 54152 54603 61212 BDT THO [+]
Personal Savings 4328.30 4408 4746 5083 5209 6774 BDT Billion [+]
Private Sector Credit 7054.79 7494 7735 8012 8240 10513 BDT Billion [+]
Consumer Credit 8368.80 8633 8822 9012 9200 11222 BDT Billion [+]
HOUSING Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Housing Index 1797.00 1821 1843 1865 1883 2537 Index Points [+]
TAXES Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 30.00 30 30 30 30 30 percent [+]
Sales Tax Rate 15.00 15 15 15 15 15 percent [+]