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Australia Industry Index Remains Under Pressure
Australia·Industry Index

The Australian Industry Index rose 6.4 points to -19.1 in October 2026 from September, indicating a slight improvement in business conditions, although the index remained firmly in negative territory. Activity, employment, new orders and input indicators all improved modestly but continued to signal weak conditions. Activity remained constrained by subdued sales, weaker demand and fewer orders, despite some improvement ahead of Christmas. Cost pressures intensified as higher fuel prices continued to feed through supply chains. However, weak market conditions have limited businesses’ ability to pass these costs on, putting further pressure on margins. Manufacturing remained particularly affected by rising costs, with no clear signs of recovery. Downstream manufacturers faced additional challenges from a weakening consumer economy. Business services and construction also improved in October compared with September, but conditions in both sectors remained weak by historical standards.

2 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralia Industry Activity Slumps
Australia·Industry Index

Australia’s Industry Index plunged to -24.2 in September from a revised -1.6 in the previous month, underscoring mounting uncertainty as volatile prices and market conditions stifle investment, orders, and planning. Firms reported growing difficulty accessing finance, while cost pressures stayed high amid a second wave of fuel and downstream price rises that reignited inflation. The activity/sales indicator collapsed 28.5 points to -31.0, returning to deep contraction, and employment fell back into negative territory at -15.6, erasing August’s gains. New orders fell 22.4 points to -35.9, reversing prior gain, while input volumes weakened to -12.9. Input prices eased 10.6 points to 56.8, yet sales prices rose 13.0 points to 13.6, hinting at improved cost pass-through. The gap between input and sales prices remained wide at 43.2 points, leaving margins under strain despite partial relief. Capacity utilisation eased to 77.2% despite rising costs, labor shortages, and intense competition.

30 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralia Industry Conditions Rebound
Australia·Industry Index

Australia’s Industry Index surged to -3.5 in August from a revised -26.3 in the prior month, its highest since February, signaling a sharp rebound in business conditions. Construction and business services led the recovery, buoyed by data centre projects. Activity and sales jumped 31.2 points to -2.2, new orders rose 15.9 points to -14.9, and employment gained 24.9 points to 3.0, all at their strongest since the energy crisis began. Firms reported mixed fortunes: some secured contracts and project wins, while others faced weaker sales and enquiries. Input volumes remained constrained by supply-chain disruptions, elevated costs, and geopolitical uncertainty. Pricing indicators diverged: input prices climbed 10.8 points to 68.0, while sales prices fell 13.1 points to 0.2, leaving a record 67.8-point margin gap. Average wages rose 16.9 points, reflecting annual increases at the start of the new financial year, underscoring persistent labor cost pressures despite headline improvement.

65 days ago
Australia Industry Conditions Signals Persistent Weakness
Australia·Industry Index

Australia’s Industry Index stood at -29.9 in July 2026, little changed from -30.0 in June. The easing energy crisis offered limited relief, but elevated fuel costs continued to pressure operations. New orders improved slightly, rising 3.7 points to -32.8, while input volumes fell 6.1 points to -9.1, staying mildly contractionary on trend. Activity and sales dropped further to -34.8, reflecting subdued demand and restrained investment amid high costs. Employment eased to -23.0 after a volatile H1 2026, as firms grappled with labour shortages and rising wages. Cost pressures showed signs of relief: input prices slid 18.9 points to 53.9 from June’s record high, while sales prices eased to 15.1, suggesting stabilising price growth after Q2 volatility. Capacity utilisation edged up to 74.0%, though businesses continued to cite many challenges, including raw material, fuel and freight costs, regulatory burdens, labour shortages, weak capital investment, and rising land taxes.

93 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Conditions Inch Higher
Australia·Industry Index

Australia’s Industry Index edged up 0.5 points to -30.0 in June 2026, signaling modest relief as lower fuel prices eased energy-related pressures. Yet higher costs and lingering uncertainty kept conditions weak. New orders fell 5.1 points to -41.0, among the lowest since the pandemic, underscoring thin pipelines, delayed decisions, and weak enquiries. Input volumes rose 3.3 points but stayed flat on trend, while activity and sales eased 8.7 points to -42.4. Employment remained in contraction at -15.5, constrained by skilled labor shortages, rising wages, and hiring difficulties. Cost pressures intensified: input prices surged 15.8 points to 80.5, while sales prices added 1.0 point to 19.2, leaving a record 61.3-point margin gap. Capacity utilisation eased to 72.8%, weighed by high energy and input costs, freight disruptions, labor shortages, and regulatory hurdles. Looking ahead, subdued investment, tax burdens, and persistent uncertainty are expected to keep utilisation under strain.

128 days ago
Australia Industry Conditions Remain Weak
Australia·Industry Index

Australia’s Industry Index edged down 1.0 point to -26.5 in May 2026, underscoring persistent industrial weakness amid an energy crisis and economic uncertainty. New orders plunged 6.3 points to -34.6, back to late-2024 lows, as firms cited delayed investment, thin pipelines, and cautious re-ordering. Input volumes fell 5.5 points, reflecting supply chain disruptions, transport bottlenecks, and high freight costs. Activity/sales stayed subdued at -32.6, while employment remained in contraction at -14.6 despite modest improvement, with uneven labor conditions marked by skill shortages and reduced hours. Cost pressures eased but remained heavy: input prices dropped 6.4 points to 63.1, sales prices slipped 2.4 points to 18.3, leaving margins strained. Meanwhile, wages rose 6.0 points to 43.6. Capacity utilisation eased to 75.7%, constrained by surging energy costs, raw material shortages, and regulatory hurdles, with weak investment and uncertainty expected to weigh further on conditions.

156 days ago
Australian Industry Conditions Improve
Australia·Industry Index

Australia’s Industry Index rose by 9.8 points to -24.4 in April 2026, signaling some stabilisation but still pointing to a deep contraction in industrial conditions. Key components strengthened modestly: activity and sales, as well as employment, each gained 4.5 points to -31.2 and -25.2, respectively, while new orders climbed 7.7 points to -24.8. Input volumes also picked up, rising 6.6 points to -5.5, suggesting a tentative recovery in demand. Yet cost pressures surged: the prices index jumped 13.5 points to 69.3 as fuel levies filtered through supply chains, pushing selling prices up 10.1 points to 23.1 and wages 2.1 points higher to 36.2. Capacity utilisation rebounded to 77.7% after earlier declines. Despite these gains, firms remain constrained by skilled labour shortages, elevated energy costs, lingering supply disruptions, and intensifying competition from online and overseas suppliers, underscoring structural headwinds even as headline conditions show modest improvement.

184 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Conditions Sharply Deteriorate: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Australian Industry Index fell 19.9 points to -23.6 in March as the energy crisis hit. The indicator reversed its 2026 recovery with the steepest monthly fall in the series. Domestic demand weakened amid Middle East conflict uncertainty while rising fuel costs and supply chain disruptions weighed on activity. The employment index dropped sharply to -28.7 reflecting levels not seen since May 2020 as weaker activity led firms to consider reducing hours despite persistent skills scarcity. New orders declined 21.7 points to -23.0 as paused projects and lower confidence constrained the pipeline while input volumes fell 12.9 points into contraction. Pricing indicators showed intensifying pressure with input prices rising to 8.5 as energy costs spiked while sales prices rose as firms attempted to pass on costs despite a widening gap between the two indices. Economic activity remains under pressure with capacity utilization falling below the long term average of 77% to 82%.

219 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Conditions Improve: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index lifted 9.0 points to -1.5 seasonally adjusted in February. The indicator has continued to recover through 2025, but activity remains flat. Domestic demand remained subdued amid soft conditions, while regulatory pressures, skills shortages, and rising input costs continued to weigh on activity, partly offset by significant growth in business services and stronger enquiry conversion rates. The employment index moved into positive territory for the first time in three years, rising to +12.8, reflecting firms retaining labor in anticipation of a gradual recovery despite persistent skills scarcity. New orders improved in February, rising 11.4 points to -2.1 as the 2026 work pipeline began to flow through, while input volumes rose sharply to 8.1, moving back into positive territory. Pricing indicators showed persistent pressure, with input prices rising and sales prices holding steady, while wages remained elevated.

247 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Activity Improves: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index edged up 0.2 points to -12.3 seasonally adjusted in December/January. The indicator has continued to recover through 2025, but activity remains mixed. Domestic demand remained subdued amid seasonal challenges, while economic uncertainty, rising input costs, regulatory pressures and labour shortages continued to weigh on activity, partly offset by stronger construction inquiries and improved conditions in metals and food industries. The employment index was broadly stable at -4.7, reflecting ongoing difficulties in securing suitable staff, with some firms scaling back operations and others holding vacancies amid persistent skill shortages. New orders improved in December/January, rising 4.1 points to -14.2 as the 2026 work pipeline began to flow through, while input volumes fell slightly to -15.7, contracting at a similar pace to November. Pricing indicators eased modestly, with both input and sales prices declining, while wages remained elevated.

275 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Activity Declines: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index declined 0.6 points to -12.5 seasonally adjusted in November. The indicator has continued to recover through 2025, but activity remains mixed. Domestic and some export demand was subdued and customer hesitation, project delays, weather impacts and increased offshore sourcing offset gains in parts of the economy. The employment index fell 5.9 points to -5.9, reversing October’s gains, as firms typically chose not to replace leavers and widespread skill shortages continued to limit productivity while some firms shelved vacancies. New orders and input volumes both deteriorated in November, but trend data show the recovery in new orders has stalled since June—respondents cited erratic demand, fewer enquiries, project delays and rising offshoring. Pricing indicators point to re-emerging cost pressures: the input price indicator rose 6.3 points, while sales prices and wages were broadly steady as more firms sought to pass on higher input costs.

338 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Conditions Improve: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index improved by 4.2 points to -11.2 seasonally adjusted in October. The indicator has continued to improve through 2025, but activity remains mixed. Domestic and some export demand was subdued and customer hesitation, project delays, weather impacts and increased offshore sourcing offset gains in parts of the economy. The employment index rose 10.9 points to a neutral reading of 0.0, led by eased labour supply constraints in construction, though widespread skill shortages still limit productivity and some firms are shelving vacancies. New orders held steady in October while input volumes climbed, but trend data show the recovery in new orders has stalled since June—respondents cited erratic demand, fewer enquiries and rising competition from imports. Pricing indicators were little moved: input costs rose slightly, sales prices eased slightly, and firms reported intensifying price competition even as some businesses began to pass on cost increases.

366 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Activity Slows in September: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index fell by 2.4 points to -16.0 seasonally adjusted in September. In trend terms, the indicator has been improving throughout 2025, but sales activity remains mixed as weak demand, project delays, and labor shortages offset gains in some sectors. The employment index declined to -11.2, with the trend series reversing after peaking in June, reflecting ongoing challenges in attracting and retaining skilled staff amid widespread labor shortages and wage pressures. Overall, new orders and enquiries have softened, despite modest increases in areas such as exports and larger projects, as delays, low demand, and economic uncertainty continue to suppress order volumes. Rising competition from imports and soft demand has eased all pricing indicators, with a notable drop in the sales price index highlighting intensifying pricing pressures across industries.

401 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Activity Slumps: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index fell by 7.9 points to -13.9 in August, retreating from July’s peak. Activity declined across sales, employment, new orders, and input volumes, reversing the gains seen at the start of the financial year. The sales indicator slipped to -12.1, while the employment index dropped to -9.8, reflecting gradual softening in the labor market. Export demand remained strong for some firms, but domestic sales lagged, and new orders fell sharply to -17.8. Input volumes also contracted, down 20.3 points to -14.8, as cost-of-living pressures weighed on customer demand. Market sentiment remained weak amid rising uncertainty, import competition, and broader economic pressures. Despite this, sales prices rose while input costs and average wages eased, narrowing the gap between selling prices and costs.

429 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Conditions Improve: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index rose by 5.8 points to -3.2 in July, marking its strongest reading in three years and continuing a gradual recovery trend seen since mid-2024.ew orders rebounded by 6.8 points to -4.9, while input volumes reached near-neutral levels at -0.3—their highest since April 2024. Some businesses reported increased customer enquiries, though others noted lingering uncertainty from global tariffs and weak consumer confidence. The sales index also improved to -8.1, the best result since August 2022, as trend momentum picked up. However, the employment index edged slightly lower to -4.0, with persistent challenges in filling roles, especially in construction-related and labour hire sectors. Input prices surged by 11.1 points to 47.9, while sales prices fell slightly, widening the cost-to-price gap to 43.4 and intensifying margin pressures. Despite rising input, wage, and utility costs, many firms are struggling to pass those increases onto customers.

457 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Index Extends Contraction: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index edged down by 1.8 points to -11.9 in June, indicating continued contraction. While sales activity remained negative at -15.6, it showed a modest improvement from earlier lows, reflecting a slow but steady recovery since early 2024. Employment also improved, rising 6.6 points to -1.9, suggesting stabilizing labor conditions. However, challenges remain, including skilled labor shortages and ongoing weakness in the retail sector. New orders dipped slightly to -13.8, while input volumes reversed May’s gains, falling 8.9 points to -11.7. Despite some positive signs, such as increasing enquiries and larger contracts sustaining operations, overall demand remained soft amid a cautious spending environment. Pricing indicators were mixed, with sales prices rising and input costs easing slightly, narrowing the margin gap but still highlighting persistent pressure on profitability due to global volatility, regulatory shifts, and import competition.

492 days ago
Australian Industry Shows Signs of Recovery: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index rose by 4.2 points to -12.3 in May 2025, indicating continued, albeit slow, recovery across industrial sectors since late 2024. Employment conditions improved, with the jobs indicator gaining 6.2 points to -9.6, though it remained in contraction territory. Businesses continued to face headwinds from deferred customer decisions, high interest rates, and global uncertainty, which delayed larger projects and weakened sales conversion. Despite some improvement in the new orders indicator to -10.3, firms still reported challenges such as high staff turnover and persistent skilled labor shortages. While pricing indicators were mixed in May, trends show sustained pressure on margins, with input and wage costs remaining elevated. Sales price growth has moderated, but cost pressures have yet to ease, maintaining strain on profitability. In trend terms, the sector continues its gradual recovery, though challenges persist.

520 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Improves in April: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index rose by 5.1 points to -15 seasonally adjusted in April, amid ongoing challenges across the industrial sector. Global trade uncertainty, currency volatility, and the upcoming federal election weighed on activity, despite slight improvements in short-run indicators. Employment conditions deteriorated further, with the index falling to -18.2, continuing a decline since mid-2024. While the contraction in activity/sales eased, forward indicators and new orders remained weak. Respondents cited pre-election uncertainty, cost-of-living pressures, and a shortage of skilled labor as key drags, though some saw improved sales by shifting customer focus. Pricing pressures eased, with declines in sales and input price indicators, while wage growth remained steady in trend terms. Overall, heightened uncertainty continues to dampen investment and future planning.

548 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Drops in March: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index decreased by 3.1 points to -22.2 seasonally adjusted in March, continuing a trend of contraction for the thirty-third consecutive month. Industrial markets are being affected by uncertainty factors, including US trade policies, forex volatility, and the Australian federal election. Although cost pressures have eased, the sales price indicator has dropped to neutral, signaling ongoing strain on industrial margins. Demand remains weak, with both new orders and activity indicators impacted by these uncertainties. The activity/sales indicator further contracted in March, falling by 7.7 points to -31.5, suggesting a continued decline in industrial activity through the first quarter of 2025. Employment conditions showed some improvement, with a rise of 5.8 points to -7.3, indicating a modest recovery since late 2024.

583 days ago
Medium Market ImpactAustralian Industry Continues Decline: Ai Group
Australia·Industry Index

The Ai Group Australian Industry Index declined by 1.1 points to -17.6 points in February, marking its thirty-second consecutive month of contraction. The activity/sales indicator contracted further, falling by 3.4 points to -22.6, though it has shown improvement over the past year on a trend basis, despite remaining in negative territory. Employment declined by 2.9 points to -14.6, with the trend indicating little movement over the past six months. Businesses reported heightened competition from imports as customers sourced supplies directly, while increasing wages for skilled workers in government infrastructure projects added pressure on staffing costs. An uptick in absenteeism also impacted productivity in some industrial sectors. New orders remained stable at -18.9, reflecting a steady improvement since late 2024. Input volumes saw a significant rise of 15.6 points, reaching a neutral -0.5, though trend data shows continued contraction over the past year.

611 days ago
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