Year-ahead inflation expectations in the United States rose further to 5.3 percent in September 2021, the eleventh consecutive monthly increase and a new series high since the inception of the survey in 2013. Three-year-ahead inflation expectations also increased, to 4.2 percent from 4.0 percent, the third consecutive monthly increase and also a new record. In contrast, year-ahead home price expectations dropped by 0.4 percentage points to 5.5 percent, the fourth consecutive monthly decrease, driven mostly by respondents from the “West” and “Northeast” Census regions. Also, while expectations about year-ahead price changes decreased for all the commodities, led by a slowdown in the price of gas, college education, and food. source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Inflation Expectations in the United States averaged 2.93 percent from 2013 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 5.30 percent in September of 2021 and a record low of 2.33 percent in October of 2019. This page provides - United States Consumer Inflation Expectations- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. United States Consumer Inflation Expectations - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on October of 2021.

Inflation Expectations in the United States is expected to be 3.60 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the United States Consumer Inflation Expectations is projected to trend around 3.00 percent in 2022 and 2.40 percent in 2023, according to our econometric models.

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United States Consumer Inflation Expectations


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2021-09-13 03:00 PM Aug 5.2% 4.8% 4.9%
2021-10-12 03:00 PM Sep 5.3% 5.2% 5.3%
2021-11-08 04:00 PM Oct 5.3%


United States Last Unit Reference Previous Highest Lowest
Inflation Expectations 5.30 percent Sep/21 5.20 5.30 2.33


United States Consumer Inflation Expectations
In the US, inflation expectations refer to median one year ahead expected inflation rate. The expectations are based on the nationally representative, internet-based survey of a rotating panel of approximately 1,200 heads of households.