The yield on the US Treasury 10-year note slipped below the 2.9% mark, a level not seen in a month, as investors rushed to safe-haven assets amid persistent fears that the Fed's aggressive tightening to tame sky-high will eventually tip the US economy into a recession. Weak economic data this week fueled those concerns further, namely signs of a slowdown in consumer spending, with morale among consumers at a 16-month low and worse-than-expected GDP figures. The core personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, eased to a six-month low of 4.7 percent in May 2022, indicating that price increases could be slowing but still near multidecade highs. In Europe, a worsening growth outlook and record inflation prompted a similar rush for government debt, with Germany's 10-year Bund yield tumbling below 1.5% for the first time in four weeks.
.
Historically, the United States Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. United States Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on July of 2022.
The United States Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 3.39 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 3.66 in 12 months time.