The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US fell for the 5th straight month to 43.9 in November of 2021, the lowest since September of 2015, and just undercut the prior pandemic low of 44 in July 2020, as the second Covid wave was hitting. With the delta variant slowing the jobs recovery and inflation fears mounting, household financial stress is spiking and faith in federal economic policies is sinking. The six-month economic outlook index sank 2.7 points to 38.6, the lowest since July 2020. Inflation worries weighed on the personal finances subindex, which fell 2 points to a 14-month low of 51.9, despite the S&P 500 closing the month at a record high. Dimming faith in federal economic policies was the biggest drag, as the federal policies subindex fell 4.2 points to 41.1. That was the lowest since January 2016. source: Technometrica Market Intelligence/The Investor's Business Daily

Economic Optimism Index in the United States averaged 49.98 from 2001 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 62.90 in March of 2002 and a record low of 35.80 in August of 2011. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on November of 2021.

Economic Optimism Index in the United States is expected to be 42.00 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is projected to trend around 50.00 in 2022, according to our econometric models.

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United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2021-10-05 02:00 PM Oct 46.8 48.5 50
2021-11-02 02:00 PM Nov 43.9 46.8 47.5
2021-12-07 03:00 PM Dec 43.9 45


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
Economic Optimism Index 43.90 46.80 Nov/21

News Stream
US Economic Optimism Index Down to 6-Year Low
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US fell for the 5th straight month to 43.9 in November of 2021, the lowest since September of 2015, and just undercut the prior pandemic low of 44 in July 2020, as the second Covid wave was hitting. With the delta variant slowing the jobs recovery and inflation fears mounting, household financial stress is spiking and faith in federal economic policies is sinking. The six-month economic outlook index sank 2.7 points to 38.6, the lowest since July 2020. Inflation worries weighed on the personal finances subindex, which fell 2 points to a 14-month low of 51.9, despite the S&P 500 closing the month at a record high. Dimming faith in federal economic policies was the biggest drag, as the federal policies subindex fell 4.2 points to 41.1. That was the lowest since January 2016.
2021-11-02
US Economic Optimism Index Falls to Over 1-Year Low
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US slipped deeper into pessimistic territory, falling 1.7 points to 46.8 in October of 2021, its lowest since September of 2020. Americans have grown more pessimistic about the outlook for the U.S. economy with the lapse of unemployment benefits even as the latest Covid wave has slowed the jobs recovery. The six-month outlook for the U.S. economy held steady at a 13-month low of 41.3; and the federal policies subindex, which reflects views of how well government economic policies are working, fell 3.8 points to 45.3, the lowest since December, before the second round of stimulus checks. Also, the personal finances subindex, fell 2.1 points to 53.9, also the lowest since September 2020, weighed down by Dow Jones losses and inflation worries.
2021-10-05
US Economic Optimism Index Falls to 1-Year Low
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US plunged by 5.1 points to 48.5 in September 2021, the lowest since September last year and falling into pessimistic territory for the first time since December. Concerns about near-term prospects for the US economy mounted as the latest Covid wave pushes back the jobs recovery amid ebbing federal income supports. The six-month outlook for the U.S. economy slid 8.9 points to 41.3, the lowest since September 2020; and the personal finances subindex fell 2.8 points to 55. The federal policies subindex, which reflect views of how well government economic policies are working, dropped 3.8 points to 49.1, turning negative for the first time since February.
2021-09-08

United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index measures Americans' opinions and outlooks on the economy. The index is based on a nationwide survey of 900 adults and evaluates six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, confidence in federal economic policies. Reading above 50 indicates optimism, and below 50 indicates pessimism.