Britain's 10-year Gilt yield fell to below 2.3% in June, the lowest in two weeks after touching its highest since July 2014 at above 2.7% on June 16th, on growing worries about an economic recession as red-hot inflation pressures the BoE to tighten monetary policy further. Still, better-than-expected PMI numbers for June eased some investors' nerves for now. The BoE has raised rates five times since December when it became the first major central bank to increase rates after the COVID-19 pandemic, and rates now stand at 1.25%. The British economy contracted 0.3% in April and 0.1% in March, while inflation soared to a fresh 40-year high of 9.1% in May.
Historically, the United Kingdom Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 16.09 in November of 1981. United Kingdom Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June of 2022.
The United Kingdom Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 2.65 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 3.17 in 12 months time.