The yield on the Swiss 10-year government bond rose to above the 1.4% level, edging closer to the 11-year high of 1.6% touched on June 16 as investors focused on inflation risks and tighter monetary policy following hawkish signals by the Swiss National Bank. Chairman Jordan stated that further monetary tightening will be required to curb inflation back to the 2% level, as current forecasts project price growth to only normalize by 2025. The signal followed the central bank’s unexpected 50bps hike in its policy rate during its June meeting. It was the first rate increase since 2007 after the SNB held borrowing costs at a record low of -0.75% since 2015. In the meantime, the State Secretariat of Economic Affairs downwardly revised year-end growth GDP growth expectations to 2.6%, while the SNB held forecasts at 2.5%.
Historically, the Switzerland Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 5.63 in September of 1994. Switzerland Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June of 2022.
The Switzerland Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 1.44 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.91 in 12 months time.