Mexico’s 10-year government bond yield fell below 9%, the lowest in 2 weeks, tracking a decline in global borrowing costs, after high recession fears led investors to flee to safety assets. Meanwhile the Bank of Mexico raised the key interest rate by 75 bps in June, as expected, for the ninth time since it started monetary tightening in June 2021. Further, the central bank revised upwards the forecasts for both headline and core inflation, while hinting at more rate-hikes in the future, including taking forceful measures if conditions so require. Inflation in Mexico eased to 7.65% in May from 7.68% in the previous month, but still remained close to a 21-year high.
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Historically, the Mexico Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 12.07 in September of 2001. Mexico Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June of 2022.
The Mexico Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 9.31 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 9.64 in 12 months time.