The yield on the German 10-year Bund eased further to the 1.57% mark in late June as lower risk sentiment lifted demand for government bonds, while an unexpected slowdown in domestic inflation eased fears of accelerated tightening by the ECB. The German CPI rose 7.6% annually in June according to preliminary figures, well below market estimates of 8% and easing from the record-high of 7.9% in May. During the ECB’s annual forum, President Lagarde stated that the central bank would accelerate its tightening path in Q3 should the inflation outlook remain high, while confirming a 25bps hike in July despite calls of a more aggressive raise by other policymakers. The ECB is also due to introduce its new tool to avert fragmentation between its member states, as the pledge of higher borrowing costs led to imbalanced decreases in bond prices earlier in the month.
Historically, the Germany Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 9.13 in September of 1990. Germany Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June of 2022.
The Germany Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 1.58 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 2.11 in 12 months time.