The yield on the French 10-year OAT rose to 1.9%, rebounding from the one-month low of 1.7% hit July 1 and tracking the increase in government bond yields in Europe, as investors weighed on tighter policy expectations by the ECB after inflation hit another fresh record in the currency bloc. During the central bank’s annual forum, President Lagarde said that interest rates could increase at a quicker pace in Q3 if inflation the outlook remains high after the start of the bank’s tightening in July. Investors also continued to await the details on the ECB’s new tool to avert fragmentation between its members and how it could narrow bond yield spreads for countries with higher debt. Meanwhile, the French government budget deficit shrank during January - May 2022 when compared to the previous year.
Historically, the France Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 11.84 in February of 1985. France Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on July of 2022.
The France Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 1.97 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 2.63 in 12 months time.