United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index - Forecast

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index in the United States is expected to be 5.00 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index in the United States to stand at 7.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index is projected to trend around 3.00 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Forecast Data Chart
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United States Business Last Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Business Confidence 59.8 56 53 55 57 52
Manufacturing PMI 55.6 53 52.1 52.8 53.2 51
Services PMI 53.5 53.4 53.1 54 55.3 54.8
Non Manufacturing PMI 61.6 54.6 54 54.2 56 52
Composite Pmi 53.9 53.3 55.2 55.4 54.2 55.1
Industrial Production 5.1 3 2.9 3 2.6 1.1
Industrial Production Mom 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2
Manufacturing Production 3.5 2.1 1.8 5.01 5.15 1.9
Capacity Utilization 78.1 78.3 78.5 78.6 78.52 78
Durable Goods Orders 4.5 2.5 -1.5 2.2 1.5 2.4
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense 2.6 2 -0.8 1.8 1.2 1.5
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.1 0.8 0.3 1.2 0.5 1
New Orders 510466 512284 513494 513955 514134 514250
Factory Orders 2.3 1.5 -0.9 2.2 1.8 0.8
Business Inventories 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.2
Changes in Inventories -36.81 69 -30.99 -11.08 -3.72 75
Wholesale Inventories 1 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.61 0.2
Bankruptcies 22245 22896 22926 22911 22891 22907
Corporate Profits 2008 2058 2074 2088 2102 2219
NFIB Business Optimism Index 108 103 107 105 102 97
Ism New York Index 72.5 55 56 53.9 60 55.9
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 22.2 21 25 11.74 10 16
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 21.1 21 19 17 22 10
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 29 5 10 11 7 3
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.18 0.9 0.7 0.19 0.38 0.05
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 28.1 27.9 20.1 28.6 15 12
Chicago Pmi 60.4 59.1 61 58 56 56
Car Production 2.78 2.97 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.54
Car Registrations 446 477 481 475 476 482
Total Vehicle Sales 17.44 17.4 16.9 17 18 17.3
Crude Oil Stocks Change 6.49 -2 2.5 4.5 3.8 2.6
Natural Gas Stocks Change 81 -180 -55 75 55 -200
Gasoline Stocks Change -2016 1000 2200 -1600 -1200 2000
Leading Economic Index 124 125 126 126 127 132
Internet Speed 18748 23553 24392 24867 25327 29875
IP Addresses 128949703 129684171 129654649 129670238 129654406 129691461
API Crude Oil Stock Change -2.1 6.2 4.8 -3.2 5.2 2
Crude Oil Rigs 873 885 891 893 894 894
Corruption Index 75 75 75 75 75 75
Corruption Rank 16 16 16 16 16 16
Competitiveness Index 85.64 5.85 5.85 5.85 5.85 5.85
Competitiveness Rank 1 2 2 2 2 2
Ease of Doing Business 6 6 7 7 7 6
Steel Production 7461 6870 7470 7414 7426 7150
Mining Production 13.4 11 9 11 13.89 4