Retail Sales MoM in the United States is expected to be 0.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales MoM in the United States to stand at 0.30 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the U.S. Retail Sales is projected to trend around 0.40 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


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United States Consumer Last Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Consumer Confidence 98.3 93 95 96 97 86.7
Retail Sales MoM 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 4.6 4 4.2 4 5.2 4
Retail Sales Ex Autos 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.4
Consumer Spending 12969 13075 13041 13202 13319 13630
Disposable Personal Income 15651 15674 15676 15673 15670 15637
Personal Spending 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.35 0.5
Personal Income 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.3
Personal Savings 6.2 6.6 6.7 6.8 7 5.2
Consumer Credit 10.92 15.1 13 14 10.5 8
Private Sector Credit 9447 9487 9537 9586 9632 9952
Bank Lending Rate 5.25 5.25 5.25 5.5 5.75 6.25
Economic Optimism Index 56.4 52.3 52 51.3 53.9 50
Redbook Index 6.1 5.8 5.2 4.8 4 4
Chain Store Sales 3979 9100 4200 4000 4050 9200
Gasoline Prices 0.74 0.73 0.71 0.7 0.69 0.64
Households Debt To GDP 77.3 77.5 78 78 78 79
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 113 113 113 113 113 113
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 80.2 82.74 82.74 82.74 82.74 82.74
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 2.7 2.66 2.66 2.66 2.66 2.66