United States Core Inflation Rate  Forecast 2016-2020

Core Inflation Rate in the United States is expected to be 2.10 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Core Inflation Rate in the United States to stand at 2.20 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Core Inflation Rate is projected to trend around 2.20 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Core Inflation Rate
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Forecast Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020 Unit
Core Inflation Rate 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 percent
United States Core Inflation Rate Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United States Core Inflation Rate using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United States Core Inflation Rate - was last predicted on Sunday, May 28, 2017.
United States Prices Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Inflation Rate 2.2 2.1 2.1 2 2.2 2.5
Inflation Rate Mom 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1
Consumer Price Index CPI 244 245 246 247 248 268
Core Consumer Prices 251 252 253 254 255 267
Core Inflation Rate 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2
GDP Deflator 113 113 114 115 115 134
Producer Prices 113 112 113 114 115 130
Producer Prices Change 2.5 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.2
Export Prices 122 123 123 123 123 119
Import Prices 123 124 124 124 123 124
Food Inflation 0.5 0.5 1 1.2 1.2 1.9
Pce Price Index 112 112 112 114 113 121
Inflation Expectations 2.79 2.84 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.81
Core Pce Price Index 113 113 113 114 114 120
Cpi Transportation 202 199 198 197 196 194
Cpi Housing Utilities 250 250 252 253 255 270