United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM - Forecast

Retail Sales MoM in the United Kingdom is expected to be 0.40 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales MoM in the United Kingdom to stand at -0.20 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM is projected to trend around 0.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM
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United Kingdom Consumer Last Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Consumer Confidence -7 -8 -12 -10 -10 -6
Retail Sales MoM 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.7 -0.2 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 3.9 3.4 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.7
Consumer Spending 325905 325802 326754 329528 330142 339153
Disposable Personal Income 332967 335600 336100 337100 338000 361400
Personal Savings 5.3 4.9 4.8 4.5 4.7 7.9
Bank Lending Rate 1.5 1.5 1.75 2 2 3
Consumer Credit 1832 1650 1770 1680 1720 2130
Gasoline Prices 1.71 1.71 1.61 1.52 1.43 1
Households Debt To Gdp 86.7 88.5 88.5 88.5 87 85
Households Debt To Income 126 130 130 130 132 132
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions -25 -25.36 -25.36 -25.36 -25.36 -25.36
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -23 -16.8 -16.01 -15.38 -14.89 -13.15
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 0 0.72 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations 1 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05