United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM  Forecast 2016-2020

Retail Sales MoM in the United Kingdom is expected to be 0.10 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales MoM in the United Kingdom to stand at 0.40 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM is projected to trend around 0.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM
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Forecast Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020 Unit
Retail Sales MoM 0.6 0.1 0.4 -0.3 0.4 0.5 percent
United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM - was last predicted on Saturday, July 22, 2017.



United Kingdom Consumer Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Consumer Confidence -10 -8 -10 -9 -7 2
Retail Sales MoM 0.6 0.1 0.4 -0.3 0.4 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 2.9 3 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.7
Consumer Spending 310357 313000 314000 315000 316000 323000
Disposable Personal Income 304966 321400 327200 332500 338600 394400
Personal Savings 1.7 5.2 6.8 7 7 7.9
Bank Lending Rate 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 2.25
Consumer Credit 1732 1510 1680 1770 1850 2430
Gasoline Prices 1.47 1.44 1.43 1.45 1.44 1.4
Households Debt To Gdp 87.6 86.2 85.9 85.7 85.6 78
Households Debt To Income 126 126 126 124 124 119