United Kingdom Retail Sales YoY - Forecast

Retail Sales YoY in the United Kingdom is expected to be 2.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales YoY in the United Kingdom to stand at 2.60 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom Retail Sales YoY is projected to trend around 2.70 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


United Kingdom Retail Sales YoY
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United Kingdom Consumer Last Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Consumer Confidence -9 -12 -10 -10 -8 -6
Retail Sales MoM -0.5 0.2 0.7 -0.2 0.4 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 2.9 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.7
Consumer Spending 331040 331712 334590 335344 333956 344363
Disposable Personal Income 333116 336100 337100 338000 340500 361400
Personal Savings 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.9 7.9
Bank Lending Rate 1.5 1.75 2 2 2.25 3
Consumer Credit 1405 1770 1680 1720 1790 2130
Gasoline Prices 1.69 1.6 1.51 1.43 1.35 0.78
Households Debt To Gdp 86.7 88.5 88.5 87 87 85
Households Debt To Income 126 130 130 132 132 132
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions -25 -25.36 -25.36 -25.36 -25.36 -25.36
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -23 -16.01 -15.38 -14.89 -14.49 -13.15
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 0 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations 1 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05