United Kingdom Retail Sales YoY  Forecast


Retail Sales YoY in the United Kingdom is expected to be 3.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales YoY in the United Kingdom to stand at 2.90 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom Retail Sales YoY is projected to trend around 2.70 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


United Kingdom Retail Sales YoY
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United Kingdom Consumer Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Consumer Confidence -10 -8 -10 -9 -7 2
Retail Sales MoM 1 0.1 0.4 -0.3 0.4 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 2.4 3 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.7
Consumer Spending 310693 313000 314000 315000 316000 323000
Disposable Personal Income 304966 321400 327200 332500 338600 394400
Personal Savings 1.7 5.2 6.8 7 7 7.9
Bank Lending Rate 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 2.25
Gasoline Prices 1.5 1.44 1.43 1.45 1.44 1.4
Households Debt To Gdp 87.6 86.2 85.9 85.7 85.6 78
Households Debt To Income 126 126 126 124 124 119
Consumer Credit 1179 1510 1680 1770 1850 2430
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions -25 -25.11 -25.3 -25.35 -25.36 -25.36
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -23 -20.66 -19.07 -17.8 -16.8 -13.37
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 0 1.07 0.78 0.73 0.72 0.71
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations 1 4.16 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05