United Kingdom Manufacturing PMI  Forecast


Manufacturing PMI in the United Kingdom is expected to be 56.60 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Manufacturing PMI in the United Kingdom to stand at 56.60 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 53.10 in 2020, according to our econometric models.


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United Kingdom Business Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Business Confidence 5 4 7 6 5 2
Manufacturing PMI 55.9 56.6 57.2 56.9 56.6 53.1
Services PMI 53.6 52.8 52.6 52.4 52 54.1
Industrial Production 1.6 1.2 1.5 2 1.8 2.1
Industrial Production Mom 0.2 0.4 0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.3
Manufacturing Production 2.8 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3
Capacity Utilization 82.6 82.6 82.6 82.7 82.7 82.7
Factory Orders 7 2 4 6 5 -2
New Orders 11781 14880 14970 15000 15290 16480
Changes in Inventories -2110 -35.21 -87.88 -374 13.5 114
Bankruptcies 4547 3400 3610 3580 3500 4000
Corporate Profits 107327 111000 112000 113000 114000 121000
Zew Economic Sentiment Index -55.1 -36 -28 -12 1 12
Car Production 103232 121000 161500 159400 162000 132000
Car Registrations 426170 187000 565000 261000 471000 196000
Small Business Sentiment 0 5 5 4 6 2
Steel Production 549 680 670 630 620 850
Private Investment 0.5 -0.3 0.6 0.7 1 0.5
Mining Production -6 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.4 2
Corruption Index 81 82 83 83 83 85
Corruption Rank 10 9 8 8 8 6
Competitiveness Index 5.51 5.49 5.54 5.54 5.47 5.59
Competitiveness Rank 8 7 6 6 6 5
Composite Pmi 54.1 53.6 53.9 54 53.8 52.8
Ease of Doing Business 7 6 6 6 6 5
Electricity Production 23079 29900 26800 24900 26000 30200