United Kingdom Interest Rate  Forecast 2016-2020

Interest Rate in the United Kingdom is expected to be 0.25 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Interest Rate in the United Kingdom to stand at 0.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom Interest Rate is projected to trend around 0.75 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United Kingdom Interest Rate
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Forecast Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020 Unit
Interest Rate 0.25 0.25 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.75 percent
United Kingdom Interest Rate Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United Kingdom Interest Rate using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United Kingdom Interest Rate - was last predicted on Wednesday, July 26, 2017.



United Kingdom Money Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Interest Rate 0.25 0.25 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.75
Interbank Rate 0.29 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 2
Money Supply M0 82402 88900 91700 93200 95600 122400
Money Supply M1 1661888 1776000 1830200 1865000 1889000 2510800
Money Supply M2 1652235 1781000 1843900 1885000 1910700 2529100
Money Supply M3 2724725 2839200 2884500 2947000 2999800 3420000
Central Bank Balance Sheet 405132 420000 423000 425000 427000 458000
Banks Balance Sheet 3785202 3850000 3910000 3970000 4050000 4510000
Foreign Exchange Reserves 150766 159000 162000 164000 168000 205000
Loans to Private Sector 2320407 2380000 2400000 2420000 2440000 2720000
Deposit Interest Rate 0 0 0 0 0 1.25
Private Debt to GDP 231 230 230 225 225 218