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Russia unemployment rate fell to 4.4 percent in June 2019 from 4.5 percent in the previous month and below market consensus of 4.5 percent. It was the lowest jobless rate since series began in 1992.

US housing starts dropped 0.9 percent from a month earlier to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,253 thousand units in June 2019, compared to market expectations of 1,261 thousand and following a revised 0.4 percent fall in May.

The annual inflation rate in Canada decreased to 2 percent in June of 2019 from 2.4 percent in the previous month and in line with market expectations, as cost slowed for shelter and transportation and energy prices fell further. Excluding energy, the inflation dropped to 2.6 percent in June from 2.7 percent in May.

The annual inflation rate in the Euro Area rose to 1.3 percent in June 2019, slightly above a preliminary and market expectations of 1.2 percent. Cost advanced at a faster pace for food, alcohol & tobacco and services.

The annual inflation rate in the United Kingdom was at 2 percent in June 2019, unchanged from the previous month and matching market expectations. Cost of food and-non-alcoholic beverages rose further while prices slowed for transport and housing & utilities.

US industrial output was unchanged in June 2019, following a 0.4 percent growth in May and missing market forecasts of a 0.1 percent gain. Increases for both manufacturing and mining offset a decline for utilities. For the second quarter as a whole, industrial production declined at an annual rate of 1.2 percent, its second consecutive quarterly decrease.

US retail trade rose 0.4 percent from a month earlier in June 2019, the same pace as in May and above market expectations of 0.1 percent, boosted by purchases of motor vehicles and a variety of other goods.

Italy’s annual inflation rate decreased to 0.7 percent in June of 2019 from 0.8 percent in the previous month and below preliminary estimates of 0.8 percent. It is the lowest inflation rate since April of 2018, as cost slowed for food and non-alcoholic beverages, transport and housing and utilities.

The Euro Area trade surplus widened to EUR 23.0 billion in May 2019 from EUR 16.9 billion in the corresponding month of the previous year and easily beating market forecasts of a EUR 16.3 billion surplus. Exports went up 7.1 percent from a year earlier and imports advanced at a slower 4.2 percent.

Italy’s trade surplus widened to EUR 5.347 billion in May 2019 from EUR 3.366 in the same month of the previous year and beating market expectations of a EUR 2.91 billion surplus. Exports jumped 8 percent from a year earlier and imports rose at a softer 3.4 percent.

The UK unemployment rate stood at 3.8 percent in the three months to May 2019, its lowest level since the October to December 1974 period and in line with market expectations. Unemployment dropped by 51,000 to 1.29 million and employment increased by 28,000 to a new all-time high of 32.75 million. Meanwhile, total pay growth picked up to 3.4 percent from the previous period's 3.2 percent.

Turkey’s unemployment rate rose to 13.0 percent in the March-May 2019 period from 9.6 percent in the same period of the previous year. Although, it was the lowest jobless rate since the October-December period of 2018.

The annual inflation rate in New Zealand climbed to 1.7 percent in the second quarter of 2019 from 1.5 percent in the previous period, matching market expectations. Prices rose further mainly due to cost of petrol.

Nigeria's consumer price inflation fell to 11.22 percent year-on-year in June 2019 from 11.40 percent in the previous month. That was the lowest inflation rate since July 2018.

Ireland's trade surplus widened to EUR 6.72 billion in May 2019 from EUR 4.89 billion in the corresponding month of the previous year, remaining close to January's all-time high.

Wholesale prices in India rose by 2.02 percent year-on-year in June 2019, easing from a 2.45 percent gain in the previous month and below market expectations of 2.35 percent. It was the lowest wholesale inflation rate since July 2017, amid a slowdown in cost of manufactured products and a marked decline in fuel prices.

Indonesia’s trade surplus narrowed sharply to USD 0.20 billion in June 2019 from a USD 1.71 billion in the same month a year earlier and below market consensus of USD 0.69 billion, as exports fell while imports rose.

The Chinese economy grew by a seasonally adjusted 1.6 percent on quarter in the three months to June 2019, accelerating from a 1.4 percent expansion in the previous period and beating market consensus of 1.5 percent.

The Chinese economy advanced 6.2 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2019, slowing from a 6.4 percent expansion in the previous three-month period and matching market expectations. It was the lowest growth rate since the first quarter of 1992, amid ongoing trade tensions with the US, weakening global demand and alarming off-balance-sheet borrowings by local governments.

Next week the US will be publishing retail sales, industrial production, housing data and flash Michigan's consumer sentiment. Elsewhere, other important releases include: UK unemployment, wage growth, retail sales and inflation; Eurozone foreign trade; Germany investor morale; China Q2 GDP growth industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment; Japan trade balance; and Australia employment figures.

India's retail price inflation rate rose to 3.18 percent year-on-year in June 2019, the highest since last October, from 3.05 percent in the previous month and slightly below market expectations of 3.20 percent. Food prices were the biggest contributor to the price increase. Still, inflation remained below the Reserve Bank of India's medium-term target of 4 percent for the eleventh consecutive month.

The annual inflation rate in Spain fell to 0.4 percent in June of 2019 from 0.8 percent in the previous month and in line with flash estimates. It was the lowest inflation rate since September of 2016, mainly due to a flat reading in transport cost.

Industrial production in the Euro Area declined 0.5 percent from a year earlier in May 2019, following a 0.4 percent contraction in the previous month and compared to market expectations of 1.6 percent drop. This was the seventh consecutive month in which there was no increase in industrial production, due to falls in intermediate and capital goods output.

China's trade surplus widened to USD 50.98 billion in June 2019 from USD 40.91 billion in the same month a year earlier and above market consensus of USD 44.65 billion. This was the largest trade surplus since December last year.

The economy of Singapore advanced 0.1 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2019, slowing from a downwardly revised 1.1 percent expansion in the previous period and well below market forecasts of a 1.1 percent rise, an advance estimate showed. It was the weakest growth rate since the second quarter of 2009, when the economy contracted 1.2 percent, as the manufacturing sector shrank further and construction output eased.

The US government budget gap decreased sharply to USD 8 billion in June 2019 from USD 75 billion in the same month last year and compared to market expectations of USD 6.35 billion. Federal spending fell 12.5 percent on the year while receipts rose 5.6 percent. This was in part because of June 1 fell on a Saturday, a non-working day, which forced some federal payments into May.

The US annual inflation rate fell to 1.6 percent in June 2019 from 1.8 percent in the previous month and in line with market expectations.

The number of Americans filling for unemployment benefits decreased by 13 thousand to 209 thousand in the week ended July 6th 2019 from the previous week’s revised level of 222 thousand and compared with market expectations of 223 thousand. This is the lowest level for initial claims since April 13th. It is the second straight weekly decline and the steepest since the week ended May 11th.

ECB officials agreed that they should be prepared to ease the monetary policy stance further in response to the further weakening of the economic outlook and the muted inflation developments, minutes of the June meeting showed. Potential measures to be considered included the possibility of further extending and strengthening the Governing Council's forward guidance, resuming net asset purchases and decreasing policy rates.

The Irish economy expanded 2.4 percent on quarter in the first three months of 2019, accelerating from an upwardly revised 0.3 percent advance in the previous period. It was the highest growth rate since the last quarter of 2017.

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Greece fell to 17.6 percent in April of 2019 from an upwardly revised 18.2 percent in the previous month and compared with 19.8 percent in April of 2018. It was the lowest jobless rate since June of 2011, as the number of unemployed persons dropped by 3.1 percent from the prior month while the number of employed went up by 0.7 percent.

The inflation rate in France was confirmed at 1.2 percent year-on-year in June 2019, up from a near two-year low of 0.9 percent in the previous month, as services and food prices rose at a faster pace while energy inflation eased and manufactured products prices continued to fall.

The inflation rate in Germany was confirmed at 1.6 percent year-on-year in June 2019, up from 1.4 percent in the previous month, as both services and food prices rose at a faster pace while energy inflation eased.

Many Fed officials saw that the case for a somewhat more accommodative monetary policy had strengthened amid heightened uncertainties about the economic outlook and muted inflation pressures, minutes of the June meeting showed. Still, some participants agreed that there was not yet a strong case for a rate cut from current levels as they preferred to gather more information on the trajectory of the economy before concluding that a change in policy stance is warranted.

The annual inflation rate in Ghana fell to 9.1 percent in June 2019 from 9.4 percent in the previous month. It was the lowest inflation rate since January, as prices rose slightly less for both food and non-food products.

The Bank of Canada held its benchmark interest rate at 1.75 percent on July 10th 2019, as widely expected. It remained the highest rate since December 2008. Policymakers said that the degree of monetary policy accommodation is appropriate and noted that the economy outlook is clouded by ongoing global trade tensions. The Committee added that they will continue to monitor developments in the energy sector and the impact of trade conflicts on the prospects for domestic economic growth and inflation. The Bank Rate and deposit rate were also left unchanged at 2.0 percent and 1.50 percent, respectively.

Uncertainties about the outlook have increased in recent months and weaker global growth could affect the US economy, Chair Jerome H. Powell said in prepared remarks to Congress, raising expectations that the central bank will be cutting interest rates by at least 25bps when it meets later this month.

The annual inflation rate in Brazil decreased to 3.37 percent in June 2019 from 4.66 percent in the previous month but slightly above market consensus of 3.33 percent. It was the lowest inflation rate since May last year, amid a slowdown in cost of food and non-alcoholic beverages, housing and transport.

The annual inflation rate in Portugal stood at 0.4 percent in June 2019, unchanged from the prior month and matching the initial estimate. It remained at the lowest level since April 2018, as prices slowed mostly for transport and housing & utilities.

Ireland's annual inflation rate picked up to 1.1 percent in June of 2019 from a three-month low of 1 percent in the previous month, mainly boosted by increases in prices of housing & utilities, alcoholic beverages & tobacco, restaurants & hotels and education.

The UK trade deficit narrowed to GBP 2.32 billion in May 2019 from a revised GBP 3.72 billion in the previous month. That was the smallest trade deficit since last September.

The Philippine's trade deficit narrowed to USD 3.28 billion in May of 2019 from USD 3.88 billion in the same month a year earlier, as exports increased while imports declined.

China's annual inflation rate stood at 2.7% in June 2019, unchanged from the previous month's 15-month high and matching market expectations. Food inflation rose to its highest since January 2012, as pork prices were persistently high following an outbreak of African swine fever.

The annual inflation rate in Mexico declined to 3.95 percent in June 2019 from 4.28 percent in the previous month, matching market expectations. The slowdown was mainly driven by cost of energy due to the electricity tariff program for warm season.

The Central Bank of Malaysia left its benchmark interest rate steady at 3 percent on July 9th 2019, after trimming it by 25 bps in the previous meeting, as widely expected. Policymakers said that the stance of monetary policy remains accommodative and supportive of economic activity. The Committee added that they will continue to assess the balance of risks to domestic growth and inflation, to ensure that the monetary policy stance remains conducive to sustainable growth amid price stability.

The Swiss unemployment rate dropped to to a non-seasonally adjusted 2.1 percent in June 2019 from 2.3 percent in the previous month and below market expectations of 2.2 percent. This was the lowest jobless rate since November 2001, as the number of unemployed declined further.

The annual inflation rate in Russia decreased to 4.7 percent in June of 2019 from 5.1 percent in the previous month and below market expectations of 4.8 percent. It was the lowest inflation rate since December, as cost slowed for food, non-food products and services.

The annual inflation rate in Tanzania increased to 3.7 percent in June 2019 from 3.5 percent in the previous month. It was the highest inflation rate since April last year, amid rising prices of food, transport and housing & utilities.

The German trade surplus widened slightly to EUR 20.6 billion in May 2019 from EUR 20.0 billion in the same month a year earlier.

Minutes from the Fed and ECB policy meetings will be keenly watched next week, alongside US inflation rate, JOLTs job openings and producer prices; UK monthly GDP figures and trade balance; Germany industrial output and foreign trade; China inflation, producer prices and trade balance; Japan machinery orders, current account and wage growth; Australia consumer and business morale; and India inflation and industrial production.

The unemployment rate in Canada rose to 5.5 percent in June of 2019 from 5.4 percent in the previous month, in line with market expectations. Employment decreased by 2,200, after creating 27,700 in May and missing market consensus of a 10,000 gain, as part-time employment dropped (-26,200) while full time advanced (+24,100).

Nonfarm payrolls in the US increased by 224 thousand in June 2019, following a downwardly revised 72 thousand rise in May and beating market expectations of 160 thousand. Notable job gains occurred in professional and business services, in health care, and in transportation and warehousing.

The US unemployment rate rose to 3.7 percent in June 2019 from a 49-year low of 3.6 percent in the previous month and above market expectations of 3.6 percent. The number of unemployed increased by 87 thousand to 6.0 million while employment went up by 247 thousand to 157.0 million.

The French trade deficit narrowed sharply to EUR 3.3 billion in May 2019 from a downwardly revised EUR 4.9 billion in the prior month and below market expectations of EUR a 4.95 billion shortfall. It was the lowest trade gap since December 2017, as exports surged 4.6 percent, hitting a record high. Meanwhile, imports advanced at a much slower 0.8 percent.

The Philippines' annual inflation rate fell to a 22-month low of 2.7 percent in June 2019 from 3.2 percent in the previous month and below market expectations of 2.9 percent. Food inflation dropped to its lowest since January 2017, and there was a slowdown in cost of both housing and transport.

Switzerland's annual inflation stood at 0.6 percent in June 2019, unchanged from the previous month's three-month low and slightly above market expectations of 0.5 percent. Cost of transport, housing, food, and health rose at softer pace, while restaurants and hotels inflation accelerated.

Malaysia's trade surplus increased to MYR 9.1 billion in May of 2019 from MYR 8.12 billion in the same month of the prior year and above market expectations of a MYR 8.2 billion surplus. Exports went up 2.5 percent while imports rose at a softer 1.4 percent.

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for the United States dropped to 55.1 in June 2019 from 56.9 in the previous month and below market expectations of 55.9. The latest reading pointed to the weakest pace of expansion in the non-manufacturing sector since July 2017.

The US trade deficit widened to USD 55.5 billion in May 2019 from a revised USD 51.2 billion in the previous month and compared to market expectations of USD 54.0 billion. That was the largest trade gap since December.

Canada’s trade balance shifted to CAD 0.76 billion surplus in May 2019 from an upwardly revised CAD 1.08 billion in the previous month and compared with market expectations of a CAD 1.5 billion gap. It was the second trade surplus since December 2016, as exports rose 4.6 percent to a record high driven by motor vehicles and imports increased at a slower 1 percent mainly due to aircraft.

The number of Americans filling for unemployment benefits decreased to 221 thousand in the week ending June 29, from the previous week's upwardly revised level of 229 thousand and compared with market expectations of 223 thousand.

The central bank of Sweden held its key repo rate steady at -0.25 percent on July 3rd 2019, in line with market expectations, as economic activity remains strong and inflation is close to the target of 2 per cent. Meantime, policymakers added that the forecast for the repo rate was unchanged and reiterated the intention to raise it towards the end of the year or at the beginning of next year. However, the bank underscored that uncertainty abroad poses some risks to global outlook which requires proceeding cautiously with monetary policy.

Turkey's annual inflation rate declined to 15.72 percent in June 2019 from 18.71 percent in the previous month and slightly below market expectations of 15.74 percent. It was the lowest inflation rate since June last year, mainly due to a slowdown in cost of food & non-alcoholic beverages, transportation and housing & utilities.

Australia's trade surplus widened sharply to AUD 5.75 billion in May 2019 from a marginally revised of AUD 4.82 billion in the previous month and beating market expectations of a surplus of AUD 5.25 billion. It was the largest trade surplus on record, as exports rose by 4 percent to an all time high of AUD 41.59 billion, while imports advanced at a softer 2 percent to AUD 35.84 billion.

Irish seasonally adjusted unemployment rate stood at 4.5 percent in June of 2019, unchanged from the previous month’s revised level and remaining at its lowest since October of 2005.

The Reserve Bank of Australia lowered its cash rate by 25 bps to a new record low of 1.0 percent at its July meeting, as widely expected. It is the first back-to-back cut in borrowing cost since 2012, aiming to support employment growth and to provide greater confidence that inflation will be consistent with the medium-term target. The Committee said they will continue to monitor developments in the labour market and adjust monetary policy if necessary.

South Korea's annual inflation rate was unchanged at 0.7 percent in June 2019, below market expectations of a 1.0 percent increase. A faster rise in prices of both food and housing offset a further drop in transport cost.

Brazil's trade surplus narrowed to USD 5.02 billion in June 2019 from USD 5.88 billion in the same month of the previous year and below market consensus of a USD 5.4 billion surplus. Exports fell 10.3 percent year-on-year and imports dropped at a softer 9.1 percent.

The IHS Markit US Manufacturing PMI was revised higher to 50.6 in June 2019 from a preliminary estimate of 50.1 and was little-changed from May's final 50.5. Still, that was the second-lowest figure since September 2009.

The ISM Manufacturing PMI in the US fell to 51.7 in June 2019 from 52.1 in the previous month, beating market expectations of 51.0. Still, the latest reading pointed to weakest pace of expansion in the manufacturing sector since October 2016.

The Euro Area seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate fell to 7.5 percent in May 2019 from 7.6 percent in the previous month and below market expectations of 7.6 percent. It was the lowest jobless rate since July 2008 as the number of unemployed continued to decline.

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Italy fell to 9.9 percent in May of 2019 from a downwardly revised 10.1 percent in the previous month and below market expectations of 10.3 percent. It was the lowest jobless rate since February of 2012.

Germany's seasonally adjusted harmonised unemployment stood at 3.1 percent in May 2019, unchanged from a downwardly revised figure in the previous month. The jobless rate remained at its lowest level since March 1980, as the number of unemployed dropped further and employment grew slightly.

South Korea’s trade surplus narrowed to USD 4.17 billion in June 2019 from USD 6.08 billion in the same month a year earlier, a preliminary data showed, as exports fell more than imports.

Next week the US jobs report will be keenly watched, alongside ISM PMIs, foreign trade balance, construction spending and factory orders; UK Markit PMIs and monetary indicators; Germany factory orders and retail sales; China NBS and Caixin PMIs; Japan tankan business sentiment and consumer confidence; and Australia trade balance, retail sales and building permits. Investors will also react to the RBA policy meeting, in which it is expected to cut rates by 25bps; US-China trade talks; and OPEC meeting.

The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment for the US was revised higher to 98.2 in June 2019 from a preliminary 97.9, as the consumer expectations sub-index came in stronger than initially thought.

Kenya's inflation rate rose slightly to 5.70 percent year-on-year in June 2019 from 5.49 percent in the previous month, but missing market expectations of 6.40 percent.

Personal spending in the United States rose 0.4 percent from a month earlier in May 2019, following an upwardly revised 0.6 percent growth in April and matching market expectations. Consumption of durables and services drove the increase.

South Africa posted a trade surplus of ZAR 1.74 billion in May 2019, compared to a ZAR 3.43 billion deficit in the previous month and below market expectations of a ZAR 2.7 billion surplus.

The unemployment rate in Brazil fell to 12.3 percent in the three months to May 2019 from 12.4 percent in the December-February period, matching market forecasts. In the corresponding period of 2018, the jobless rate was higher at 12.7 percent.

Italy’s annual inflation rate came in at 0.8 percent in June of 2019, the same as in the previous month while markets were expecting a decrease to 0.7 percent, a preliminary estimate showed. It remains at its lowest level since April of 2018, as inflation was steady for both food and non-alcoholic beverages and health.

The annual inflation rate in the Euro Area stood at 1.2 percent in June 2019, unchanged from the previous month and in line with market expectations, a preliminary estimate showed. It remained the lowest inflation rate since April last year, due to a slowdown in cost of energy.

The gross domestic product in the United Kingdom grew 1.8 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2019, unrevised from the first estimate and up from 1.4 percent in the previous period. That was the strongest pace of expansion since the third quarter of 2017.

Britain's quarterly economic growth was confirmed at 0.5 percent in the first quarter of 2019, above the previous three-month period's figure of 0.2 percent. Household expenditure, government consumption and investment contributed positively to GDP growth, while net trade contributed negatively.

The annual inflation rate in Portugal came in at 0.4 percent in June of 2019, unchanged from the previous month and remaining the lowest level since April of 2018, preliminary estimates showed. Energy cost is seen falling while prices of unprocessed food should rise further, preliminary estimates showed.

Turkey's trade deficit shrank by 76.5 percent to USD 1.84 billion in May 2019 from USD 7.81 billion in the corresponding month of the previous year.

Spain’s economy advanced 0.7 percent on quarter in the three months to March 2019, after a 0.6 percent expansion in the previous period and matching a preliminary reading and market expectations, final figures showed. It was the strongest growth rate since the fourth quarter of 2017, as fixed investment rebounded while both household and government spending expanded at the same pace.

The inflation rate in France is expected to accelerate to 1.2 percent year-on-year in June 2019 from a near two-year low of 0.9 percent in the previous month, a preliminary estimate showed. Services and food prices should rise at a faster pace while manufactured goods deflation is likely to slow.

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Japan stood at 2.4 percent in May 2019, unchanged from the previous month and in line with market estimates. Meanwhile, the jobs-to-applicants ratio inched lower to 1.62 in May from 1.62 in April and slightly below consensus of 1.63.

Mexico’s trade balance shifted to a USD 1031 million surplus in May 2019 from a USD 1587 million deficit in the corresponding month of the previous year and beating market expectations of a USD 1.03 billion shortfall. Exports increased 6.7 percent year-on-year and imports rose at a softer 0.1 percent. Considering the first five months of the year, the country recorded a USD 584 million trade surplus.

The US economy grew by an annualized 3.1 percent in the first quarter of 2019, unrevised from the second estimate and following a 2.2 percent expansion in the previous three-month period. Nonresidential and residential fixed investment, exports and imports, and state and local government spending were revised higher while personal consumption expenditures and inventory investment came in lower than initially reported.

The number of Americans filling for unemployment benefits increased to 227 thousand in the week ended June 21 2019, from the previous week’s revised level of 217 thousand and compared with market expectations of 220 thousand. Jobless claims hit the highest level since the week ended May 4 2019.

The inflation rate in Germany is expected to rise to 1.6 percent year-on-year in June 2019 from 1.4 percent in the previous month and above market expectations of 1.4 percent.

The annual inflation rate in Spain is expected to fall to 0.4 percent in June 2019 from 0.8 percent in the previous month and below market expectations of 0.5 percent, a preliminary estimate showed. It was the lowest inflation rate since September 2016, mainly due to a slowdown in cost of electricity and fuels.

New orders for US manufactured durable goods fell 1.3 percent from a month earlier in May 2019, after a revised 2.8 percent plunge in April and worse than market expectations of a 0.1 percent drop. Transportation equipment, down three of the last four months, drove the decrease.

The Bank of Thailand held its policy rate at 1.75 percent on its June 26th 2019 meeting, as widely expected. Policymakers said that the current accommodating monetary policy stance remains appropriate for economic growth given the inflation target. The Committee slashed its 2019 economic growth outlook to 3.3 percent from a preliminary 3.8 percent while unrevised its inflation forecasts (1 percent for 2019) and projected that exports will be flat. Policymakers added that they will continue to monitor developments on economic growth, inflation, and financial stability, together with associated risks, namely trade tensions.

Malaysia's annual inflation rate came in at 0.2 percent in May 2019, unchanged from the previous month and below market consensus of 0.3 percent. Main upward pressure came from both food and housing & utilities prices while transport prices continued to drop, though less.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand left its official cash rate/OCR unchanged at a record low of 1.5 percent at its June 2019 meeting, as widely expected. The move follows a 25 bps cut in the previous meeting. Policymakers said that a lower OCR may be needed over time given the downside risks around the inflation and employment outlook.

The Fed is "insulated from short-term political pressures", Chair Jerome H. Powell said in a speech at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, as policymakers face heavy criticism by President Donald Trump for having raised interest rates last year.

Sales of new single-family houses in the United States dropped 7.8 percent from the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 626 thousand in May 2019, while markets had forecast a 1.9 percent increase to 680 thousand. That was the lowest level since December despite lower mortgage rates.