United Kingdom Public Sector Net Borrowing  Forecast 2016-2020

Government Debt in the United Kingdom is expected to be -7050.00 GBP Million by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Government Debt in the United Kingdom to stand at -3250.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom Public Sector Net Borrowing is projected to trend around -5460.00 GBP Million in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United Kingdom Public Sector Net Borrowing
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Forecast Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020 Unit
Government Debt -5993 -7050 -8960 -6540 -3250 -5460 GBP Million
United Kingdom Public Sector Net Borrowing Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United Kingdom Public Sector Net Borrowing using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United Kingdom Public Sector Net Borrowing - was last predicted on Wednesday, June 28, 2017.
United Kingdom Government Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Government Debt to GDP 89.3 87 87 87 89 85
Government Budget -3 -2.6 -2.6 -2.6 -2.9 -0.9
Government Budget Value -4738 14560 16850 9230 19700 9980
Government Spending 91999 92540 92750 93050 93300 95590
Government Spending to GDP 42.1 43.4 43.4 43.4 43.6 44.3
Government Debt -5993 -7050 -8960 -6540 -3250 -5460
Credit Rating 94.83
Military Expenditure 54217 54428 54769 55109 55300 56949
Asylum Applications 3140 3040 3840 2910 3070 2210
Government Revenues 52722 54560 53200 55510 57020 61870