United Kingdom Balance of Trade  Forecast 2016-2020

Balance of Trade in the United Kingdom is expected to be -5200.00 GBP Million by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Balance of Trade in the United Kingdom to stand at -3800.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom Balance of Trade is projected to trend around -1000.00 GBP Million in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United Kingdom Balance of Trade
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Forecast Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020 Unit
Balance of Trade -2050 -5200 -1100 -2100 -3800 -1000 GBP Million
United Kingdom Balance of Trade Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United Kingdom Balance of Trade using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United Kingdom Balance of Trade - was last predicted on Sunday, June 25, 2017.
United Kingdom Trade Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Balance of Trade -2050 -5200 -1100 -2100 -3800 -1000
Exports 49816 43100 43000 42700 43300 43700
Imports 51866 48300 44100 44800 47100 44700
Current Account -12088 -17770 -19320 -27230 -21210 -22840
Current Account to GDP -4.4 -4 -4 -4 -3.7 -1.5
External Debt 6085392 6254900 6297400 6345500 6372200 6811100
Terms of Trade 99.9 97.5 96.4 97.5 100 100
Capital Flows 51392 11700 17800 42100 12100 36900
Foreign Direct Investment 110946 -9000 -500 14900 44100 15900
Gold Reserves 310 310 310 310 310 310
Crude Oil Production 944 950 950 950 950 880
Terrorism Index 5.08 5.08 5.08 5.08 5.08 5.08
Tourism Revenues 2020 2150 2460 2080 1400 2490
Tourist Arrivals 3720 3410 3290 2760 2680 2990
Weapons Sales 1393 1192 1181 1170 1195 1273