South Africa Consumer Confidence - Forecast

Consumer Confidence in South Africa is expected to be 17.00 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Consumer Confidence in South Africa to stand at 8.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the South Africa Consumer Confidence is projected to trend around 1.60 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Forecast Data Chart
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South Africa Consumer Last Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Consumer Confidence 22 17 18 10 8 1.6
Retail Sales MoM -1.2 0.04 0.5 0.12 0.12 0.7
Retail Sales YoY 0.7 1.66 1.9 1.58 1.57 2.2
Consumer Spending 1936072 1924433 1961669 1967049 1915821 2034918
Disposable Personal Income 2868646 2965725 2800000 3035351 3075238 3140000
Personal Savings -0.2 0.03 -1.2 0 -0.02 0.2
Private Sector Credit 5.68 7.9 5.89 5.57 5.57 3.11
Bank Lending Rate 10 10 10 10 9.83 8.5
Gasoline Prices 1.21 1.22 1.15 1.09 1.03 0.51
Households Debt To Gdp 33.1 32.31 37 31.78 31.52 36
Households Debt To Income 71.9 71.14 78 70.84 70.59 77
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -22.2 -7.67 -6.67 -5.84 -5.12 -1.81
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 6.4 3.49 6.26 4.05 5.74 4.96
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -11.8 -13.49 -14 -13.43 -13.98 -13.71