South Africa Prime Overdraft Rate  Forecast


Bank Lending Rate in South Africa is expected to be 10.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Bank Lending Rate in South Africa to stand at 11.11 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the South Africa Prime Overdraft Rate is projected to trend around 8.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


South Africa Prime Overdraft Rate
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South Africa Consumer Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Consumer Confidence -9 -7 -5 -6 -4 1.6
Retail Sales MoM 2.4 0.8 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.7
Retail Sales YoY 5.5 2.2 4.14 4.18 4.2 2.2
Consumer Spending 1884552 1894119 1900207 1904170 1907849 1918263
Disposable Personal Income 2723157 2660000 2848646 2887559 2925855 3140000
Personal Savings 0.2 -1.8 0.22 0.41 0.44 0.2
Private Sector Credit 5.98 7.51 7.77 8.66 9.45 3.11
Bank Lending Rate 10.25 10 10.66 10.89 11.11 8.5
Gasoline Prices 1.01 0.95 0.98 0.98 0.97 1.26
Households Debt To Gdp 34.3 37.5 34.13 34.18 34.25 36
Households Debt To Income 74.4 78.5 70.15 69.45 68.76 77
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -22.2 -9.09 -6.5 -2.87 -1.45 5.01
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 6.4 6.45 6.64 6.92 7.11 8.02
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -11.8 -11.63 -11.88 -11.25 -11.18 -10.1