South Africa Prime Overdraft Rate - Forecast

Bank Lending Rate in South Africa is expected to be 10.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Bank Lending Rate in South Africa to stand at 10.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the South Africa Prime Overdraft Rate is projected to trend around 8.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


South Africa Prime Overdraft Rate
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South Africa Consumer Last Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Consumer Confidence 26 -6 -4 -2 -2 1.6
Retail Sales MoM 0 0.02 -0.43 0.5 -0.54 0.7
Retail Sales YoY 4.8 3.1 3.61 1.9 2.77 2.2
Consumer Spending 1928878 1912970 1924433 1961669 1913084 2030916
Disposable Personal Income 2853653 2966767 3034744 2800000 3147894 3140000
Personal Savings 0.2 0.2 0.2 -1.2 0.2 0.2
Private Sector Credit 5.96 7 7.9 5.89 5.46 3.11
Bank Lending Rate 10 10 10 10 10 8.5
Gasoline Prices 1.17 1.16 1.09 1.03 0.97 0.68
Households Debt To Gdp 33.5 32.72 32.46 37 31.94 36
Households Debt To Income 71.9 71.9 71.9 78 71.9 77
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -22.2 -8.87 -7.67 -6.67 -5.84 -1.81
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 6.4 6.81 3.49 6.26 4.05 4.96
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -11.8 -13.82 -13.49 -14 -13.43 -13.71