Russia Bank Lending Rate - Forecast

Bank Lending Rate in Russia is expected to be 9.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Bank Lending Rate in Russia to stand at 8.25 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Russia Bank Lending Rate is projected to trend around 7.25 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Russia Bank Lending Rate
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Russia Consumer Last Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Consumer Confidence -8 -7 -6 -6 -7 -4
Retail Sales MoM -0.9 1.3 0.6 23.7 0.77 22.8
Retail Sales YoY 2.4 3.1 2.36 2.7 2.36 5.4
Consumer Spending 12421 11286 12076 12632 12545 13246
Consumer Credit 12697540 11200000 13602364 11400000 14497374 12000000
Private Sector Credit 38140738 39026348 40280104 41353197 42281097 47021353
Bank Lending Rate 8.92 8.92 8.42 8.42 8.17 7.17
Households Debt To Gdp 16.2 16.55 16.79 17.02 17.15 18.31
Disposable Personal Income 5.7 2.9 2.5 2.9 1.5 4.8
Gasoline Prices 0.72 0.72 0.68 0.64 0.6 0.42
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -3 -3.03 -3.01 -3.09 -3.1 -3.07