Portugal Retail Sales MoM  Forecast


Portugal Retail Sales MoM
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Retail Sales MoM in Portugal is expected to be -2.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales MoM in Portugal to stand at -0.20 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Portugal Retail Sales MoM is projected to trend around 0.40 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Portugal Consumer Last Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Consumer Confidence 2.3 -3.4 -2.2 0.39 -7.9 -8.2
Retail Sales MoM 3.9 -2.2 1.9 0.04 -0.2 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 4.8 2.9 3.2 2.92 2.5 2.2
Consumer Spending 28710 29650 29850 28774 30990 34630
Personal Savings 4.4 3.6 3.6 4.78 4.1 5.8
Consumer Credit 114609 114900 115100 113268 115200 116900
Personal Spending 2.2 2.9 3 3 2.9 2.6
Households Debt To Gdp 70.8 69.5 68.8 65.74 64.78 57.78
Households Debt To Income 106 103 103 101 103 96.4
Bank Lending Rate 2.96 3.4 3.4 3.26 3.5 3.8
Disposable Personal Income 39769 41290 41770 40011 42960 46120
Gasoline Prices 1.85 1.6 1.58 1.83 1.65 1.65
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 12.59 9.05 7.86 6.73 5.7 -0.8
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 3.36 2.68 2.41 2.16 1.93 0.35
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -26.4 -26.55 -26.49 -26.35 -26.23 -25.35
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations -17.17 -14.7 -12.99 -11.34 -9.77 0.58