Portugal Retail Sales YoY - Forecast

Retail Sales YoY in Portugal is expected to be 4.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales YoY in Portugal to stand at 3.20 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Portugal Retail Sales YoY is projected to trend around 2.20 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Portugal Retail Sales YoY
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Portugal Consumer Last Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Consumer Confidence 2.4 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.5 1.1
Retail Sales MoM 1.9 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 5.1 4.2 4.4 3.8 3.2 2.2
Consumer Spending 28808 28612 28994 29356 28988 30303
Personal Savings 5.4 5.1 4.8 4.5 4.2 5.8
Consumer Credit 114696 115100 115200 115400 115500 116900
Personal Spending 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 2
Households Debt To Gdp 70.2 68.8 65.7 64.8 63.8 57.8
Households Debt To Income 101 99.8 99.8 99.8 95.1 91.9
Bank Lending Rate 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.81 3.06 3.56
Disposable Personal Income 40597 41770 41920 42960 43250 46120
Gasoline Prices 1.9 1.85 1.74 1.64 1.55 1.08
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 12.59 14.99 14.97 14.99 14.98 14.98
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 3.36 4.11 4.1 4.11 4.11 4.11
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -26.4 -26.29 -26.25 -26.28 -26.26 -26.27
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations -17.17 -22.64 -22.73 -22.77 -22.79 -22.8