Portugal Consumer Confidence  Forecast


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Consumer Confidence in Portugal is expected to be -3.60 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Consumer Confidence in Portugal to stand at 1.22 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Portugal Consumer Confidence is projected to trend around -8.20 in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Portugal Consumer Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Consumer Confidence 2.1 -3.6 -3.4 -2.2 1.22 -8.2
Retail Sales MoM 0.8 -1.6 -2.2 1.9 0.01 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 4.1 3.6 2.9 3.2 2.74 2.2
Consumer Spending 28582 29540 29650 29850 28725 34630
Personal Savings 3.8 3.4 3.6 3.6 4.9 5.8
Consumer Credit 115016 114800 114900 115100 114222 116900
Personal Spending 2.2 2.9 2.9 3 3 2.6
Households Debt To Gdp 72 70.6 69.5 68.8 65.37 56.98
Households Debt To Income 106 104 103 103 94.89 96.4
Bank Lending Rate 3.02 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.96 3.8
Disposable Personal Income 39554 40890 41290 41770 40201 46120
Gasoline Prices 1.76 1.62 1.6 1.58 1.69 1.65
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 12.59 9.9 9.05 7.86 6.73 -0.8
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 3.36 2.88 2.68 2.41 2.16 0.35
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -26.4 -26.81 -26.55 -26.49 -26.35 -25.35
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations -17.17 -16.53 -14.7 -12.99 -11.34 0.58