Portugal Bank Lending Rate - Forecast

Bank Lending Rate in Portugal is expected to be 2.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Bank Lending Rate in Portugal to stand at 3.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Portugal Bank Lending Rate is projected to trend around 3.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Portugal Bank Lending Rate
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Portugal Consumer Last Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Consumer Confidence 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.1 1.9 0.1
Retail Sales MoM 0.3 1.1 0.7 -0.6 0.2 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 5.7 4.9 4.2 4.4 3.8 2.2
Consumer Spending 28710 29650 29850 30460 30990 34630
Personal Savings 4.4 3.6 3.6 3.8 4.1 5.8
Consumer Credit 114534 114900 115100 115200 115400 116900
Personal Spending 2.1 2.9 3 3 2.9 2.6
Households Debt To Gdp 70.8 69.5 68.8 65.7 64.8 57.8
Households Debt To Income 104 99.8 99.8 99.8 99.8 91.9
Bank Lending Rate 2.87 2.5 2.5 3 3 3.5
Disposable Personal Income 39769 41290 41770 41920 42960 46120
Gasoline Prices 1.95 1.95 1.9 1.9 1.85 1.75
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 12.59 9.05 7.86 6.73 5.7 -0.8
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 3.36 2.68 2.41 2.16 1.93 0.35
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -26.4 -26.55 -26.49 -26.35 -26.23 -25.35
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations -17.17 -14.7 -12.99 -11.34 -9.77 0.58