Japan Leading Economic Index  Forecast


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Leading Economic Index in Japan is expected to be 107.84 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Leading Economic Index in Japan to stand at 104.30 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Japan Leading Economic Index is projected to trend around 97.65 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Japan Business Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Business Confidence 22 10 21.92 18.99 15.18 2
Manufacturing PMI 52.8 53 53.8 52.4 52.4 51
Services Pmi 53.4 52.1 52 51.7 51.25 50.8
Industrial Production 2.6 2.86 0.7 0.78 1 4.39
Industrial Production Mom -1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Manufacturing Production 2.7 1.2 0.71 0.79 1.01 3
Capacity Utilization 102 105 105 106 106 108
New Orders 1011 991 991 995 998 1020
Machinery Orders -8.1 0.12 0.33 0.29 0.26 0.26
Changes in Inventories -1248 -251 284 588 755 477
Bankruptcies 733 710 740 765 789 954
Corporate Profits 22390 20518 19994 20635 20392 19593
Coincident Index 116 117 116 115 114 106
Economy Watchers Survey 52.2 50.68 48.94 47.9 47.12 45.21
Car Production 738821 645077 668841 678615 678722 685867
Car Registrations 200547 240926 249852 261577 264565 263099
Leading Economic Index 107 108 107 106 104 97.65
Small Business Sentiment 10 10.03 8.87 6.39 3.53 -10.47
Internet Speed 20172
IP Addresses 43689566 42896482 42604062 42319334 42038894 40020117
Mining Production -1.9 0.68 -0.44 -0.96 -1.21 -1.45
Non Manufacturing Pmi 23 22.58 21.47 20.04 18.42 7.1
Cement Production 4980 5174 5312 5389 5451 5882
Competitiveness Index 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.42
Competitiveness Rank 9 9 9 9 9 6
Composite Pmi 53.4 52.18 51.34 51.31 51.41 51.41
Corruption Index 72 71 71 71 72 73
Corruption Rank 20 19 19 19 18 19
Ease of Doing Business 34 35 34 34 33 30
Steel Production 8623 8688 8708 8721 8729 8746
Private Investment 1.5 -0.59 -1.13 -1.5 -1.7 -1.91