Ireland Tradingeconomics.com Ireland Bank Lending Rate Forecast

Trading Economics provides data for 20 million economic indicators from 196 countries including actual values, consensus figures, forecasts, historical time series and news. Ireland Tradingeconomics.com Ireland Bank Lending Rate Forecast - was last updated on Friday, October 19, 2018.


Overview Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
GDP Growth Rate 2.50 1.2 -0.8 1 1.1 0.8 percent
Unemployment Rate 5.40 5.1 4.6 4.5 4.7 5.5 percent
Inflation Rate 0.90 0.9 1 1.1 1.4 2.1 percent
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0.25 0.75 percent
Balance of Trade 4386300.00 4100000 6200000 4900000 5200000 3600000 EUR Thousand
Government Debt to GDP 68.00 64 60 60 60 58 percent
MARKETS Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Currency 1.15
1.15 1.14 1.13 1.13 1.1
Stock Market 6090.79
points
6437 6380 6323 6267 6047
Government Bond 10Y 1.01
percent
1.05 1.11 1.17 1.23 1.53
GDP Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
GDP Growth Rate 2.50
percent
1.2 -0.8 1 1.1 0.8
GDP Annual Growth Rate 9.00
percent
1.2 3.2 3.3 3.8 2.9
GDP 333.73
USD Billion
340 360 360 360 390
GDP Constant Prices 78200.00
EUR Million
77501 78697 80781 81172 84613
Gross National Product 59578.00
EUR Million
62995 61087 61544 61842 68776
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 15204.00
EUR Million
16099 15913 15706 15782 17576
GDP per capita 74433.46
USD
76800 79000 79000 79000 82000
GDP per capita PPP 67335.29
USD
72600 73100 73100 73100 74800
GDP From Agriculture 608.00
EUR Million
653 649 628 631 713
GDP From Construction 1957.00
EUR Million
1930 1958 2022 2031 2107
GDP From Manufacturing 24736.00
EUR Million
26250 24240 25552 25676 28659
GDP From Public Administration 7768.00
EUR Million
7790 8103 8024 8063 8505
GDP From Transport 8828.00
EUR Million
8624 8768 9119 9163 9416
LABOUR Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 5.40
percent
5.1 4.6 4.5 4.7 5.5
Employed Persons 2256.50
Thousand
2350 2400 2450 2500 2500
Unemployed Persons 144.30
Thousand
132 136 138 137 141
Unemployment Change -19428.00
Persons
2280 -2640 4750 -12100 1040
Part Time Employment 456.80
Thousand
460 465 470 460 480
Full Time Employment 1805.30
Thousand
1970 2020 2030 2040 2150
Labor Force Participation Rate 62.20
percent
62.8 63 63.4 63.6 64.5
Long Term Unemployment Rate 2.10
percent
1.7 1.5 1.5 1.6 2.5
Youth Unemployment Rate 12.90
percent
10.5 10.1 9.5 9.5 11
Labour Costs 78.40
Index Points
85 82 86 77 92
Minimum Wages 1613.95
EUR/Month
1614 1660 1660 1660 1720
Wages in Manufacturing 866.14
EUR/Week
875 895 855 875 895
Population 4.84
Million
4.84 4.88 4.88 4.88 4.94
Retirement Age Women 66.00
66 66 66 66 66
Retirement Age Men 66.00
66 66 66 66 66
Initial Jobless Claims 32258.00
Persons
32800 33200 32600 27657 30200
Productivity 134.40
Index Points
145 147 149 151 157
Wages 744.08
EUR/Week
744 751 738 732 781
Average Hourly Earnings 22.89
EUR
23.6 24.2 24.5 24.4 26.6
Employment Change 0.70
percent
0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4
Employment Rate 68.50
percent
69.1 69.4 69.2 69.1 68.6
PRICES Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Inflation Rate 0.90
percent
0.9 1 1.1 1.4 2.1
Inflation Rate Mom -0.40
percent
0.2 0.4 0.5 -0.3 0.6
Harmonised Consumer Prices 101.40
Index Points
101 102 102 103 104
Consumer Price Index CPI 101.70
Index Points
101 102 103 103 105
Core Consumer Prices 101.20
Index Points
101 102 102 102 103
Core Inflation Rate 0.30
percent
0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.5
GDP Deflator 102.70
Index Points
104 104 105 105 109
Producer Prices 98.70
Index Points
105 102 103 100 109
Export Prices 95.50
Index Points
92 92 95 95 101
Import Prices 98.50
Index Points
98 100 101 102 106
Producer Prices Change -0.90
percent
0.5 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.7
CPI Housing Utilities 108.40
Index Points
105 106 107 110 108
CPI Transportation 103.40
Index Points
102 104 105 105 106
Food Inflation -2.20
percent
-1 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.7
MONEY Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Interest Rate 0.00
percent
0 0 0 0.25 0.75
Interbank Rate -0.32
percent
-0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.07 0.43
Money Supply M1 169995.00
EUR Million
165000 167000 169000 178405 201000
Money Supply M2 211706.00
EUR Million
209000 211000 213000 220715 221000
Money Supply M3 233254.00
EUR Million
234000 238000 241000 235971 259000
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3866.80
EUR Million
3860 3734 3733 3734 4880
Loans to Private Sector 40733.00
EUR Million
48200 49900 51800 41078 65600
Private Debt to GDP 406.71
percent
382 365 365 365 341
Central Bank Balance Sheet 103139.00
EUR Million
107500 109500 111200 104066 122500
TRADE Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Balance of Trade 4386300.00
EUR Thousand
4100000 6200000 4900000 5200000 3600000
Exports 11558500.00
EUR Thousand
11200000 13600000 12700000 11900000 12500000
Imports 7172200.00
EUR Thousand
7100000 7400000 7800000 6700000 8900000
Current Account 10162.00
EUR Million
5850 4850 5400 12500 3560
Current Account to GDP 12.50
percent
8.5 7 7 7 6
External Debt 2260705.00
EUR Million
2510000 2560000 2590000 2610000 2740000
Terms of Trade 97.00
Index Points
93.88 92 94.06 93.14 95.28
Capital Flows 14187.00
EUR Million
-4000 1750 -2200 4500 -2100
Tourist Arrivals 2951.90
Thousand
2850 2020 4980 3020 3600
Gold Reserves 6.00
Tonnes
6 6 6 6 6
Terrorism Index 3.14
3.14 3.14 3.14 3.14 3.14
Weapons Sales 13.00
USD Million
32.21 29.89 27.57 25.25 26.74
Foreign Direct Investment -44020.00
EUR Million
7500 9600 21500 4400 4500
GOVERNMENT Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Government Debt to GDP 68.00
percent
64 60 60 60 58
Government Budget -0.30
percent of GDP
0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8
Government Budget Value 1477.00
EUR Million
50 -400 1800 2620 350
Government Spending 7462.00
EUR Million
7425 7605 7708 7746 8106
Government Spending to GDP 26.10
percent
26 26.5 26.5 26.5 27.2
Government Revenues 15358.00
EUR Million
17100 14200 18500 15100 18800
Government Debt 210221.00
EUR Million
221000 225000 227000 228000 236000
Fiscal Expenditure 15066.00
EUR Million
17050 14600 16700 12480 18450
Military Expenditure 1096.15
USD Million
1130 1132 1133 1134 1156
Asylum Applications 235.00
persons
220 160 150 280 190
BUSINESS Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Business Confidence 21.00
percent
19 5 15 21 36
Manufacturing PMI 56.30
55.2 52 55.9 56.4 52.9
Services PMI 58.70
Index Points
55.4 51.5 54.9 54.6 53.8
Industrial Production 13.30
percent
5.1 6.9 5.1 4.5 3
Industrial Production Mom 7.90
percent
-0.2 1.5 -0.4 0.8 0.8
Manufacturing Production 13.40
percent
4.9 6.5 5.8 5.1 2.8
Changes in Inventories 926.00
EUR Million
507 -420 700 610 340
Car Registrations 4397.00
750 18100 4700 5500 950
Internet Speed 15614.31
KBps
15462 15674 15480 15667 15477
IP Addresses 1663376.00
IP
1612867 1620086 1618190 1614928 1617368
Mining Production 9.60
percent
3.6 3 2.8 2.5 2.6
Competitiveness Index 75.68
Points
5.16 5.16 5.16 5.16 5.16
Competitiveness Rank 23.00
24 24 24 24 24
Ease of Doing Business 17.00
16 15 15 15 14
Electricity Production 2343.00
Gigawatt-hour
2500 2600 2500 2434 2600
Corruption Index 74.00
Points
74 74 74 74 74
Corruption Rank 19.00
19 19 19 19 19
CONSUMER Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Consumer Confidence 96.40
Index Points
102 95 101 104 103
Retail Sales MoM -3.30
percent
0.2 0.6 0.5 -0.4 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 2.60
percent
3.2 3.4 3.6 3.4 2.5
Consumer Spending 25411.00
EUR Million
25326 25826 26250 26377 27650
Disposable Personal Income 233013.00
EUR Million
236000 251000 251000 251000 265000
Personal Savings 9.70
percent
8.5 7.8 7.6 7.7 7.2
Private Sector Credit 171255.00
EUR Million
186000 189000 195000 168881 229000
Bank Lending Rate 1.00
percent
1 1 1 1.25 1.75
Consumer Credit 12957.00
EUR Million
13800 14000 14200 13109 16900
Gasoline Prices 1.70
USD/Liter
1.46 1.38 1.31 1.21 1.03
Households Debt To Gdp 46.30
percent of GDP
45.1 41.5 41.5 41.5 38.7
Households Debt To Income 147.13
percent
141 134 134 134 125
HOUSING Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Housing Index 106.30
Index Points
108 110 112 114 125
New Home Sales 814.00
dwellings
720 740 720 680 800
Building Permits 1639.00
1700 1550 1650 1750 2200
Construction Output 13.90
percent
8.9 7.5 6.8 5.1 4
Construction Pmi 56.20
55.9 51.2 54.9 54.5 52.9
Existing Home Sales 3290.00
dwellings
3380 3420 3600 3220 3580
Home Ownership Rate 69.80
percent
70.7 71 71 71 71.2
TAXES Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 12.50
percent
12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5
Personal Income Tax Rate 48.00
percent
48 48 48 48 48
Sales Tax Rate 23.00
percent
23 23 23 23 23
Social Security Rate 14.75
percent
14.75 14.75 14.75 14.75 14.75
Social Security Rate For Companies 10.75
percent
10.75 10.75 10.75 10.75 10.75
Social Security Rate For Employees 4.00
percent
4 4 4 4 4
CLIMATE Actual Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Temperature 7.77
celsius
7.36 5.52 11.09 10.08 9.65
Precipitation 272.63
mm
117 96.02 98.45 98.45 96.08