Euro Area Retail Sales MoM - Forecast

Retail Sales MoM in Euro Area is expected to be -0.40 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales MoM in Euro Area to stand at 0.70 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Euro Area Retail Sales MoM is projected to trend around 0.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Forecast Data Chart
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Euro Area Consumer Last Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Consumer Confidence -2.7 -2.2 -1.8 -2 -2.6 -6.6
Retail Sales MoM -0.2 -0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.3
Consumer Spending 1419 1436 1444 1450 1448 1498
Disposable Personal Income 1742505 1810000 1830000 1850000 1870000 1980000
Personal Savings 12.08 11.5 11.1 10.7 10.7 10.5
Private Sector Credit 13347319 13800000 14000000 14200000 14400000 15400000
Bank Lending Rate 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.27 2.77
Consumer Credit 677865 705000 709000 711000 715000 732000
Economic Optimism Index 111 110 110 109 109 108
Households Debt To Gdp 57.8 57 55 55 55 53.7
Households Debt To Income 94 92.5 89.9 89.9 89.9 87.1
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions -5.3 2.3 2.41 2.46 2.46 2.54
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -0.5 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations -0.7 -0.45 -0.45 -0.45 -0.45 -0.45
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -17.3 -17.58 -17.58 -17.58 -17.58 -17.58
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 20.1 18 17.2 16.4 16 15
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -3.5 -3.86 -3.86 -3.86 -3.86 -3.86
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations 0.6 -2.79 -3.36 -2.8 -2.8 -2.81