China Retail Sales MoM - Forecast

Retail Sales MoM in China is expected to be 0.81 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales MoM in China to stand at 0.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Retail Sales MoM is projected to trend around 0.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


China Retail Sales MoM
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China Consumer Last Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Consumer Confidence 123 121 119 117 116 105
Retail Sales MoM 0.7 0.81 0.86 0.89 0.5 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 9.4 10.4 10 10.23 9.5 8
Consumer Spending 292661 294465 302317 310170 318023 389890
Disposable Personal Income 33616 34268 34755 35241 35728 41365
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.4 0.35 1.1
Bank Lending Rate 4.35 4.4 4.46 4.52 4.58 5
Consumer Credit 309838 321833 332448 342112 350846 383700
Gasoline Prices 0.78 0.75 0.75 0.7 0.7 0.6
Households Debt To Gdp 46.8 47.59 47.53 47.39 47.22 45.42
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 108 109 109 109 109 109
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 116 111 111 110 110 110