China Outstanding Yuan Loan Growth - Forecast

Loan Growth in China is expected to be 12.60 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Loan Growth in China to stand at 12.40 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Outstanding Yuan Loan Growth is projected to trend around 11.70 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


China Outstanding Yuan Loan Growth
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China Money Last Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Interest Rate 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.5 4.5 5.5
Cash Reserve Ratio 15.5 16 16 15 15 15
Interbank Rate 3.86 3.86 3.86 4.01 4.01 5.01
Money Supply M0 6960 7001 6986 6969 6954 6804
Money Supply M1 54390 55081 56148 57190 58217 67728
Money Supply M2 177020 180307 183783 187308 190837 225606
Central Bank Balance Sheet 356149 357209 357999 358826 359630 366030
Banks Balance Sheet 1840 1240 1252 1259 1259 1259
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3112129 3096488 3085102 3075404 3066639 2840000
Loans to Private Sector 11800 15236 14699 14388 14399 14423
Deposit Interest Rate 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.5 0.5 1.5
Loan Growth 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.5 12.4 11.7
Reverse Repo Rate 2.55 2.6 2.6 2.65 2.65 3.5
Loans To Banks 1268339 1315556 1350788 1385940 1421030 1768307
Fixed Asset Investment 6 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.2