China Outstanding Yuan Loan Growth - Forecast

Loan Growth in China is expected to be 12.70 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Loan Growth in China to stand at 12.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Outstanding Yuan Loan Growth is projected to trend around 11.70 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


China Outstanding Yuan Loan Growth
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China Money Last Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Interest Rate 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.5 5.5
Cash Reserve Ratio 16 16 16 16 15 15
Interbank Rate 4.39 5.81 5.81 6.06 6.06 6.71
Money Supply M0 7150 7758 7714 7706 7692 7538
Money Supply M1 52540 51085 50847 50760 50710 50294
Money Supply M2 173770 176852 175402 171749 167650 166195
Central Bank Balance Sheet 353225 357244 357778 358691 359639 367900
Banks Balance Sheet 1180 1487 934 1223 1138 1144
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3125000 3099916 3081843 3083891 3095059 2840000
Loans to Private Sector 15600 16151 14712 15237 15193 15152
Deposit Interest Rate 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.5 0.7
Loan Growth 12.7 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.5 11.7
Reverse Repo Rate 2.55 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.65 3.5
Loans To Banks 1256799 1281264 1316820 1352378 1387868 1773776
Fixed Asset Investment 7 7.9 7.5 7.5 7.4 7.2