China Leading Economic Index  Forecast


Leading Economic Index in China is expected to be 0.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Leading Economic Index in China to stand at 0.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Leading Economic Index is projected to trend around -0.10 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


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China Business Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Business Confidence 52.4 51.7 50.9 51 51.6 51
Non Manufacturing PMI 55.4 54.4 55.27 54 55.51 52
Manufacturing PMI 51 51.7 51.3 51.2 50.9 53.4
Services PMI 50.6 52.5 52.7 51.9 52.2 52
Industrial Production 6.6 6 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.2
Industrial Production Mom 0.56 0.2 0.54 0.19 0.7 0.3
Manufacturing Production 8.1 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 5.5
New Orders 54.8 54.3 54.26 54.15 54.08 53.99
Changes in Inventories 10816 10741 10565 10389 10213 9235
Total Vehicle Sales 2709100 2477490 2417577 2382451 2351261 2103213
Car Production 2297200 2078916 2027429 1986358 1947617 1671248
Car Registrations 2342600 2148380 2070860 2014426 1963043 1619191
Leading Economic Index 0.2 0 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1
Mining Production -3.8 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.8 1.2
Mni Business Sentiment 55.9 57.61 57.9 58.14 58.33 58.97
Steel Production 74594 74493 74347 74182 74015 72540
Competitiveness Index 5 4.95 4.99 4.96 4.99 4.97
Competitiveness Rank 27 28 28 28 29 29
Composite Pmi 51.4 51.4 52 51.7 51.14 52.4
Cement Production 22140 21626 21644 21362 21183 19528
Corruption Index 40 40 41 41 41 42
Corruption Rank 79 79 78 78 78 77
Corporate Profits 4921350 3459349 2654914 2160137 1861967 1446152
Ease of Doing Business 78 78 79 79 79 87
Electricity Production 594500 575350 568475 567147 566866 558862