China Leading Economic Index - Forecast

Leading Economic Index in China is expected to be 102.00 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Leading Economic Index in China to stand at 100.10 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Leading Economic Index is projected to trend around 107.00 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Forecast Data Chart
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China Business Last Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Business Confidence 51.3 50.9 51.4 51.6 52 51
Services PMI 51.5 52.8 52.2 52.3 53 52
Non Manufacturing PMI 54.2 54 54.6 53 52.6 52
Manufacturing PMI 50.6 50.9 51.2 51.6 50.9 53.4
Industrial Production 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.2 6 5.2
Industrial Production Mom 0.52 0.7 0.3 0.49 0.1 0.3
Manufacturing Production 6.1 6.5 6 6.1 6.2 5.5
New Orders 52.2 52.03 52.4 52.35 52.37 52.37
Changes in Inventories 14186 13121 13495 13353 13212 14565
Total Vehicle Sales 2103400 2390259 2405034 2387178 2389599 2390991
Car Production 1705200 2036789 2044503 2031620 2033828 2034378
Car Registrations 1789900 2027668 2049179 2018426 2020696 2024431
Internet Speed 7583 10226 10629 11021 11404 14747
IP Addresses 98862937 75461774 72038908 68739509 65559121 39428876
Steel Production 81241 80816 81379 81399 81280 81289
Mining Production 2 2.8 1.5 -0.5 -0.4 1.2
Capacity Utilization 76.8 77 77 77.3 77.4 77.5
Competitiveness Index 5 5 5 5 5 5
Competitiveness Rank 27 27 27 27 27 26
Composite Pmi 52 52.5 52.3 51.4 52.4 52.4
Cement Production 20018 19284 19680 19657 19593 19620
Corruption Index 41 41 41 42 42 42
Corruption Rank 77 78 78 94 93 77
Corporate Profits 3903810 5620000 7700000 1720000 3800000 8250000
Ease of Doing Business 78 79 79 78 78 77
Electricity Production 640000 568115 577395 572526 572807 572871