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Interest Rate in China is expected to be 4.35 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Interest Rate in China to stand at 4.10 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Interest Rate is projected to trend around 5.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


China Money Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Interest Rate 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.1 4.1 5.5
Cash Reserve Ratio 17 17 17 17 17 20
Interbank Rate 5.1 4.81 4.6 4.42 4.28 4.08
Money Supply M0 6820 6805 6804 6796 6785 6689
Money Supply M1 52600 52825 53079 53129 53125 52907
Money Supply M2 165340 166880 168000 168861 169476 169090
Central Bank Balance Sheet 358875 351575 351976 351927 351691 348259
Banks Balance Sheet 663 854 796 745 712 633
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3109213 3120628 3127133 3128575 3126361 2840000
Loans to Private Sector 10400 12930 11827 11225 10712 9051
Deposit Interest Rate 1.5 1.84 1.98 2.11 2.25 3.5
Loan Growth 13 12.5 12.5 12.4 15.55 11.7
Reverse Repo Rate 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.67 2.95
Loans To Banks 1179921 1204109 1231677 1255648 1276202 1338227
Fixed Asset Investment 7.3 7.7 7.6 7.9 7.5 7.2