China Consumer Spending  Forecast 2016-2020

Consumer Spending in China is expected to be 302127.89 CNY HML by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the China Consumer Spending is projected to trend around 387161.99 CNY HML in 2020, according to our econometric models.

China Consumer Spending
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Forecast Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020 Unit
Consumer Spending 292661 302128 307890 313652 320558 387162 CNY HML
China Consumer Spending Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of China Consumer Spending using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - China Consumer Spending - was last predicted on Saturday, June 24, 2017.
China Consumer Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Consumer Confidence 112 111 110 109 108 105
Retail Sales MoM 0.86 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.82 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 10.7 9.8 9.7 9.6 10.55 8
Consumer Spending 292661 302128 307890 313652 320558 387162
Disposable Personal Income 33616 34752 35181 35610 36114 41768
Personal Savings 0.35 0.5 1 1 0.29 3
Bank Lending Rate 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35
Mni Consumer Sentiment 117 116 116 116 116 116
Consumer Credit 273698 279431 295753 311428 326382 440761
Gasoline Prices 0.7 0.68 0.67 0.65 0.65 0.58
Households Debt To Gdp 44.4 45.68 46.28 47 47.74 55.69