China Consumer Credit - Forecast

Consumer Credit in China is expected to be 352198.53 CNY HML by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Consumer Credit in China to stand at 388827.63 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Consumer Credit is projected to trend around 458050.75 CNY HML in 2020, according to our econometric models.


China Consumer Credit
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China Consumer Last Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Consumer Confidence 123 121 119 118 117 105
Retail Sales MoM 0.73 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 9 8.5 8.4 8.5 8.1 8
Consumer Spending 317510 302319 338465 338148 311684 380656
Disposable Personal Income 36396 38270 39103 39709 40315 45968
Personal Savings 0.35 0.3 0.35 0.3 0.3 1.1
Bank Lending Rate 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.5 4.5 5.5
Consumer Credit 333730 352199 365212 377422 388828 458051
Gasoline Prices 0.84 0.8 0.75 0.71 0.67 0.38
Households Debt To Gdp 48.4 49.3 49.6 50 51 55
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 108 108 108 108 108 108
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 116 109 109 109 109 109