China Consumer Credit  Forecast


China Consumer Credit
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Consumer Credit in China is expected to be 326044.82 CNY HML by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Consumer Credit in China to stand at 364331.73 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Consumer Credit is projected to trend around 431213.35 CNY HML in 2020, according to our econometric models.


China Consumer Last Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Consumer Confidence 121 119 118 116 115 105
Retail Sales MoM 0.83 0.89 0.92 0.93 0.5 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 10.2 10.4 10 10.74 9.5 8
Consumer Spending 292661 294465 302317 310170 318023 389890
Disposable Personal Income 33616 34268 34755 35241 35728 41365
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.4 0.35 1.1
Bank Lending Rate 4.35 4.4 4.46 4.52 4.58 5
Consumer Credit 306907 326045 339588 352352 364332 431213
Gasoline Prices 0.78 0.75 0.75 0.7 0.7 0.6
Households Debt To Gdp 46.8 47.59 47.53 47.39 47.22 45.42
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 108 109 109 109 109 109
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 116 111 111 110 110 110