China Consumer Credit  Forecast


Consumer Credit in China is expected to be 296569.37 CNY HML by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Consumer Credit in China to stand at 342982.40 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Consumer Credit is projected to trend around 449389.08 CNY HML in 2020, according to our econometric models.


China Consumer Credit
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China Consumer Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Consumer Confidence 115 113 112 110 109 105
Retail Sales MoM 0.76 0.6 0.6 0.82 0.82 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 10.1 10.5 10.6 10.4 10 8
Consumer Spending 292661 307890 313652 320558 327464 387162
Disposable Personal Income 33616 35181 35610 36114 36618 41768
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 1.1
Bank Lending Rate 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35
Mni Consumer Sentiment 117 116 116 116 116 116
Consumer Credit 291010 296569 312744 328224 342982 449389
Gasoline Prices 0.7 0.67 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.58
Households Debt To Gdp 45.5 46.28 47 47.74 48.49 55.69
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 108 109 108 108 108 108
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 116 114 111 110 109 109