China Central Bank Balance Sheet  Forecast


Central Bank Balance Sheet in China is expected to be 350104.93 CNY HML by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Central Bank Balance Sheet in China to stand at 349800.19 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Central Bank Balance Sheet is projected to trend around 346307.10 CNY HML in 2020, according to our econometric models.


China Central Bank Balance Sheet
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China Money Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Interest Rate 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.1 4.1 5.5
Cash Reserve Ratio 17 17 17 17 17 20
Interbank Rate 4.89 4.68 4.49 4.33 4.2 4.08
Money Supply M0 6970 6840 6845 6835 6824 6729
Money Supply M1 51790 52044 52105 52104 52086 51864
Money Supply M2 165570 167701 169416 170733 171709 172609
Central Bank Balance Sheet 347144 350105 350267 350098 349800 346307
Banks Balance Sheet 1270 988 890 819 768 637
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3108510 3140150 3158097 3166859 3169483 2840000
Loans to Private Sector 18200 14258 12862 11979 11288 9109
Deposit Interest Rate 1.5 1.84 1.98 2.11 2.25 3.5
Loan Growth 13.1 12.5 12.5 12.4 16.03 11.7
Loans To Banks 1160509 1196550 1219384 1238744 1254854 1285770
Reverse Repo Rate 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.7 2.96
Fixed Asset Investment 7.5 7.7 7.6 7.9 7.5 7.2