China Prime Lending Rate - Forecast

Bank Lending Rate in China is expected to be 4.35 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Bank Lending Rate in China to stand at 4.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Prime Lending Rate is projected to trend around 5.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Forecast Data Chart
Trading Economics members can view, download and compare data from nearly 200 countries, including more than 20 million economic indicators, exchange rates, government bond yields, stock indexes and commodity prices.

The Trading Economics Application Programming Interface (API) provides direct access to our data. It allows API clients to download millions of rows of historical data, to query our real-time economic calendar, subscribe to updates and receive quotes for currencies, commodities, stocks and bonds.


China Consumer Last Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Consumer Confidence 119 116 115 114 114 105
Retail Sales MoM 0.65 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 9 8.4 8.5 8.1 7.7 8
Consumer Spending 317510 340000 380000 380000 322527 411000
Disposable Personal Income 36396 39103 39709 40315 40921 45968
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.1
Bank Lending Rate 4.35 4.35 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.5
Consumer Credit 350646 370644 385226 399073 412165 495266
Gasoline Prices 0.94 0.82 0.77 0.73 0.68 0.58
Households Debt To Gdp 49.3 49.6 50 51 51 55
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 108 108 108 108 108 108
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 116 109 109 109 109 109