Week Ahead


Next week the US will be publishing retail trade, industrial production, housing data and the preliminary estimate of Michigan consumer sentiment. Elsewhere, important releases include: UK inflation, wage data, unemployment and retail trade; Germany flash Q2 GDP growth and Eurozone second estimate; China industrial output, retail sales and fixed asset investment; Japan foreign trade; Australia business and consumer morale, and employment figures; and Canada and India inflation rates.

In the US the most important releases are retail sales; industrial production; building permits and housing starts; the preliminary estimate of Michigan consumer sentiment; foreign trade prices; business inventories; non-farm productivity; NY Empire State Manufacturing Index; Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index; NFIB Business Optimism Index; NAHB Housing Market Index; and overall net capital flows.

The UK will publish inflation and producer prices, wage data and unemployment, and retail trade. Elsewhere in Europe, several countries are set to publish a preliminary reading of second-quarter GDP growth, including Germany, the Netherlands and Finland, while the Eurozone will release its second estimate. Other key data include: Eurozone final estimate of July's inflation, alongside trade balance and industrial output; Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index; France jobless rate; Norway interest rate decision; and Turkey consumer confidence and unemployment rate.

In China analysts are eyeing the publication of industrial production, retail sales, fixed asset investment, monetary indicators and house price index. Meanwhile, Japan is set to publish figures for trade balance and final figures for industrial output; and Australia is releasing NAB Business Confidence, Westpac Consumer Confidence, employment figures and wage growth.

Other key highlights include: Canada inflation rate; India trade balance, inflation and wholesale prices; Malaysia GDP growth; and Indonesia interest rate decision and trade balance.



Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com
8/10/2018 3:57:48 PM



 


Friday August 10 2018 Actual Previous Consensus
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Statement on Monetary Policy
04:30 AM
JP
Tertiary Industry Index MoM JUN -0.5% 0.2% ®
06:45 AM
FR
Industrial Production MoM JUN 0.6% -0.2%
07:30 AM
SE
CPIF YoY JUL 2.2% 2.2%
07:30 AM
SE
Inflation Rate MoM JUL 0.5% 0.2%
08:00 AM
FR
IEA Oil Market Report
08:00 AM
IT
Balance of Trade JUN €5.071B €3.366B ®
08:30 AM
HK
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 3.5% 4.6% ®
08:30 AM
HK
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 -0.2% 2.1% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production MoM JUN 0.4% 0.6% ®
08:30 AM
GB
GDP MoM JUN 0.1% 0.3%
08:30 AM
GB
Construction Output YoY JUN 2.2% 1.5% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Industrial Production YoY JUN 1.1% 1.2% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Industrial Production MoM JUN 0.4% -0.2% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production YoY JUN 1.5% 1.5% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Business Investment QoQ Prel Q2 0.5% -0.4%
08:30 AM
GB
Business Investment YoY Prel Q2 0.8% 2%
08:30 AM
GB
Balance of Trade JUN £-1.861B £-3.141B ®
08:30 AM
GB
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 1.3% 1.2%
08:30 AM
GB
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2 0.4% 0.2%
08:30 AM
GB
GDP 3-Month Avg JUN 0.4% 0.1% ®
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM JUN -0.3% -1.2% ®
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales YoY JUN 1.5% 2.7%
12:00 PM
IN
Industrial Production YoY JUN 7% 3.9% ®
12:00 PM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY JUN 6.9% 3.7% ®
12:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate JUL 65.4% 65.5%
12:30 PM
CA
Employment Change JUL 54.1K 31.8K
12:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate JUL 5.8% 6%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM JUL 0.2% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM JUL 0.2% 0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY JUL 2.4% 2.3%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY JUL 2.9% 2.9%
01:00 PM
RU
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 1.8% 1.3%
01:00 PM
RU
Balance of Trade JUN $15.56B $15.15B
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement JUL $-77B $-75B
Monday August 13 2018 Actual Previous Consensus
12:00 PM
IN
Inflation Rate YoY JUL 4.17% 4.92% ®
SA
OPEC Monthly Report
Tuesday August 14 2018 Actual Previous Consensus
01:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence JUL 7 6
02:00 AM
CN
Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY JUL 5.5% 6%
02:00 AM
CN
Industrial Production YoY JUL 6% 6%
02:00 AM
CN
Retail Sales YoY JUL 8.8% 9%
05:30 AM
FR
Unemployment Rate Q2 9.1% 9.2%
06:00 AM
FI
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 2.9% 3.1%
06:00 AM
FI
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2 0.5% 1.2%
06:00 AM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL 2% 2.1%
06:00 AM
DE
GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash Q2 2% 2.1% ®
06:00 AM
DE
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash Q2 0.5% 0.4% ®
06:00 AM
RO
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 4.1% 4%
06:00 AM
RO
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2 1.4% 0.1%
06:30 AM
IN
WPI Inflation YoY JUL 5.09% 5.77%
07:00 AM
CZ
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 2.3% 4.2% ®
07:00 AM
CZ
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2 0.5% 0.5% ®
07:00 AM
HU
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 4.6% 4.4%
07:00 AM
HU
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2 0.9% 1.2%
07:00 AM
SK
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 4.1% 3.6%
07:00 AM
SK
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2 1% 1% ®
07:30 AM
NL
GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash Q2 2.9% 2.8%
07:30 AM
NL
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash Q2 0.7% 0.6%
07:30 AM
NL
Balance of Trade JUN €4.81B €4.73B ®
08:00 AM
BG
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 3.4% 3.6%
08:00 AM
BG
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2 0.8% 0.9%
08:00 AM
PL
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 5.1% 5.2%
08:00 AM
PL
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2 0.9% 1.6%
08:30 AM
PT
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 2.3% 2.1%
08:30 AM
PT
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2 0.5% 0.4%
08:30 AM
GB
Employment Change MAY 42K 137K
08:30 AM
GB
Unemployment Rate JUN 4% 4.2%
08:30 AM
GB
Claimant Count Change JUL 6.2K 9K ®
08:30 AM
GB
Average Earnings incl. Bonus JUN 2.4% 2.5%
09:00 AM
CY
GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash Q2 3.9% 4.0%
09:00 AM
CY
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash Q2 0.8% 1%
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production YoY JUN 2.5% 2.6% ®
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production MoM JUN -0.7% 1.4% ®
09:00 AM
EA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est Q2 0.4% 0.4%
09:00 AM
EA
GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est Q2 2.2% 2.5%
09:00 AM
EA
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index AUG -11.1 -18.7
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index AUG -13.7 -24.7
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Current Conditions AUG 72.6 72.4
12:15 PM
IN
Balance of Trade JUL $-18.0B $-16.6B
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices MoM JUL 0% -0.1% ®
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices MoM JUL -0.5% 0.2% ®
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change 10/AUG 3.66M -6M
Wednesday August 15 2018 Actual Previous Consensus
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change AUG -2.3% 3.9%