Week Ahead


In the US, the release of FOMC minutes will be the most important event, followed by inflation and retail sales data, the preliminary reading of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, and JOLTs job openings. Elsewhere, key data include UK industrial production, construction and trade data; Germany foreign trade; Australia business and consumer confidence; and China Caixin services PMI, trade and foreign investment.

In the US, the Fed will publish its September meeting minutes, which are expected to provide further details of the central bank's plan to unwind its asset purchases. Investors will also be closely watching inflation rate, retail trade, the preliminary reading of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, JOLTs job openings, producer prices, the government's budget statement, business inventories, NFIB Business Optimism Index and IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism.

In the UK, markets will focus on industrial production, construction and trade data. Elsewhere in Europe, important releases include Germany trade balance; industrial output for the Eurozone, Germany, France and Italy; and final inflation data for Germany, France, Italy and Spain.

In China, analysts will be eyeing Caixin services PMI, trade and foreign investment. Meanwhile in Japan, machinery orders, tertiary industry index, current account and producer prices will be in the spotlight. 

In Australia, the RBA will publish its Financial Stability Review. Also, key data to watch for will be NAB business confidence, Westpac consumer confidence, investment lending for homes and home loans.

Other important releases include: Singapore GDP growth; India trade balance, industrial production and inflation; Canada housing starts, building permits and house prices; Mexico inflation rate; Brazil retail trade; and Russia trade balance.


Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com
10/6/2017 4:23:15 PM



 


Friday October 06 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
04:00 AM
MY
Balance of Trade AUG MYR9.90B MYR8.0B
05:00 AM
JP
Coincident Index Prel AUG 117.6 115.7
05:00 AM
JP
Leading Economic Index Prel AUG 106.8 105.2 ®
06:00 AM
DE
Factory Orders MoM AUG 3.6% -0.4% ®
06:45 AM
FR
Balance of Trade AUG €-4.5B €-5.9B ®
08:00 AM
IT
Retail Sales MoM AUG -0.3% -0.4% ®
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 2.54% 2.46%
12:30 PM
CA
Employment Change SEP 10.0K 22.2K
12:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate SEP 6.2% 6.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate SEP 65.6% 65.7%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings MoM SEP 0.5% 0.2% ®
12:30 PM
US
Participation Rate SEP 63.1% 62.9%
12:30 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls SEP -33K 169K ®
12:30 PM
US
Unemployment Rate SEP 4.2% 4.4%
01:15 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
02:00 PM
CA
Ivey PMI s.a SEP 59.6 56.3
02:00 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM AUG 0.9% 0.6%
04:15 PM
US
Fed Dudley Speech
04:45 PM
US
Fed Kaplan Speech
05:50 PM
US
Fed Bullard Speech
IN
EU-India Summit
Saturday October 07 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
03:45 PM
US
Fed Rosengren Speech
Monday October 09 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
01:45 AM
CN
Caixin Services PMI SEP 50.6 52.7
06:00 AM
DE
Industrial Production MoM AUG 2.6% -0.1% ®
01:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 6.35% 6.66%
11:50 PM
JP
Current Account AUG ¥2380T ¥2320T ®
EA
Eurogroup Meeting
US
IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings
Tuesday October 10 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
12:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence SEP 7 5
01:00 AM
PH
Balance of Trade AUG $-2411M $-1617M ®
03:20 AM
AU
RBA Debelle Speech
05:45 AM
CH
Unemployment Rate SEP 3.0% 3%
06:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade AUG €20.0B €19.6B ®
06:45 AM
FR
Industrial Production MoM AUG -0.3% 0.5% ®
08:00 AM
IT
Industrial Production MoM AUG 1.2% 0.1%
08:30 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production MoM AUG 0.4% 0.4% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Construction Output YoY AUG 3.5% 2.7% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Industrial Production YoY AUG 1.6% 1.1% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Industrial Production MoM AUG 0.2% 0.3% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production YoY AUG 2.8% 2.7% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Balance of Trade AUG £-5.63B £-4.24B ®
12:15 PM
CA
Housing Starts SEP 217.1K 225.9K ®
12:30 PM
CA
Building Permits MoM AUG -5.5% -2.8% ®
02:00 PM
US
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism OCT 50.3 53.4
02:00 PM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
06:00 PM
CA
BoC Wilkins Speech
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders MoM AUG 3.4% 8.0%
US
IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings
Wednesday October 11 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
12:00 AM
US
Fed Kaplan Speech
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index OCT 101.35 97.9
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change OCT 3.6% 2.5%
11:15 AM
US
Fed Evans Speech
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM AUG -0.5% 0.0%
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales YoY AUG 3.6% 3.1%
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings AUG 6.082M 6.140M ®
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Minutes
06:50 PM
EA
ECB Praet Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Weekly Crude Oil Stock OCT 3.097M -4.079M
SA
OPEC Monthly Report
US
IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings
Thursday October 12 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
12:30 AM
AU
Investment Lending for Homes AUG 4.3% -3.9%
12:30 AM
AU
Home Loans MoM AUG 1.0% 2.8% ®
04:30 AM
JP
Tertiary Industry Index MoM AUG -0.2% 0.1%
04:30 AM
NL
Balance of Trade AUG €4.07B €4.697B ®
07:30 AM
SE
Inflation Rate MoM SEP 0.1% -0.2%
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production YoY AUG 3.8% 3.6% ®
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production MoM AUG 1.4% 0.3% ®
09:00 AM
US
IEA Oil Market Report
10:00 AM
IE
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 0.2% 0.4%
12:00 PM
IN
Industrial Production YoY AUG 4.3% 0.9% ®
12:00 PM
IN
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 3.28% 3.28% ®
12:00 PM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY AUG 3.1% -0.3% ®
12:00 PM
PL
Inflation Rate YoY Final SEP 2.2% 1.8%
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index YoY AUG 3.8% 3.8%
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index MoM AUG 0.1% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims OCT/07 243K 258K ®
12:30 PM
US
PPI MoM SEP 0.4% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Core PPI MoM SEP 0.4% 0.1%
01:00 PM
RU
Balance of Trade AUG $6.612B $3.972B
01:00 PM
RU
Foreign Exchange Reserves SEP $424.8B $424.0B
01:00 PM
GB
BoE Haldane Speech
02:00 PM
MX
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
02:30 PM
EA
ECB Draghi Speech
02:30 PM
EA
ECB Praet Speech
02:30 PM
US
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change OCT/06 87Bcf 42Bcf
02:30 PM
US
Fed Powell Speech
02:30 PM
US
Fed Brainard Speech
03:00 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 6/OCT 2.49M 1.644M
03:00 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 6/OCT -2.747M -6.023M
05:00 PM
US
30-Year Bond Auction 2.870% 2.790%
07:15 PM
CA
BoC Wilkins Speech
07:45 PM
EA
ECB Cœuré Speech
US
IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings
US
G20 Finance Ministers and CB Governors Meeting
Friday October 13 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
12:00 AM
SG
GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv Q3 4.6% 2.9%
12:00 AM
SG
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv Q3 6.3% 2.4% ®
12:30 AM
AU
RBA Financial Stability Review
01:15 AM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
02:30 AM
CN
Balance of Trade SEP $28.47B $41.99B
02:30 AM
CN
Exports YoY SEP 8.1% 5.5%
02:30 AM
CN
Imports YoY SEP 18.7% 13.3%
06:00 AM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Final SEP 1.8% 1.8%
12:20 PM
IN
Balance of Trade SEP $-8.98B $-11.64B
12:30 PM
US
Fed Rosengren Speech
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM SEP 1% 0.5% ®
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY SEP 1.7% 1.7%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 2.2% 1.9%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales MoM SEP 1.6% -0.1% ®
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM SEP 0.1% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM SEP 0.5% 0.4%
02:00 PM
US
Business Inventories MoM AUG 0.7% 0.3% ®
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel OCT 101.1 95.1
02:15 PM
EA
ECB Constâncio Speech
02:25 PM
US
Fed Evans Speech
03:30 PM
US
Fed Kaplan Speech
05:00 PM
US
Fed Powell Speech
US
G20 Finance Ministers and CB Governors Meeting
US
IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings
Saturday October 14 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
US
IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings
Sunday October 15 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
01:00 PM
EA
ECB Constâncio Speech
01:00 PM
US
Fed Yellen Speech
03:30 PM
IL
Inflation Rate MoM SEP 0.1% 0.3%
US
IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings
US
G30 International Banking Seminar
Monday October 16 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 1.6% 1.8%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM SEP 0.5% 0.4%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY SEP 6.9% 6.3%
04:00 AM
ID
Balance of Trade SEP $1.76B $1.72B
06:30 AM
IN
WPI Inflation YoY SEP 2.60% 3.24%
07:00 AM
TR
Unemployment Rate JUL 10.7% 10.2%
09:00 AM
EA
Balance of Trade AUG €16.1B €23.2B
12:30 PM
US
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index OCT 30.20 24.4
02:30 PM
CA
BoC Business Outlook Survey
Tuesday October 17 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
12:30 AM
AU
RBA Meeting Minutes
12:30 AM
AU
RBA Ellis Speech
01:00 AM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
08:00 AM
IT
Balance of Trade AUG €2.769B €6.56B
08:00 AM
NG
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 15.98% 16.01%
08:15 AM
GB
Treasury Select Committee Hearing
08:20 AM
EA
ECB Constâncio Speech
08:30 AM
GB
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 3% 2.9%
08:30 AM
GB
Inflation Rate MoM SEP 0.3% 0.6%
08:30 AM
GB
Core Inflation Rate YoY SEP 2.7% 2.7%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Final SEP 1.5% 1.5%
09:00 AM
EA
Core Inflation Rate YoY Final SEP 1.1% 1.2%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate MoM SEP 0.4% 0.3%
09:00 AM
EA
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index OCT 26.7 31.7
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Current Conditions OCT 87.0 87.9
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index OCT 17.6 17
09:30 AM
EA
ECB Praet Speech
12:00 PM
PL
Employment Growth YoY SEP 4.5% 4.6%
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices MoM SEP 0.8% 0.7% ®
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices MoM SEP 0.7% 0.6%
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production YoY SEP 1.6% 1.2% ®
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production MoM SEP 0.3% -0.7% ®
02:00 PM
US
NAHB Housing Market Index OCT 68 64
07:30 PM
CA
BoC Wilkins Speech
08:00 PM
US
Net Long-Term Tic Flows AUG $67.2B $1.2B ®
08:00 PM
US
Foreign Bond Investment AUG $11.5B $-0.5B
08:00 PM
US
Overall Net Capital Flows AUG $125B $-7.3B
08:30 PM
US
API Weekly Crude Oil Stock OCT -7.130M 3.097M
11:00 PM
KR
Unemployment Rate SEP 3.7% 3.8%
Wednesday October 18 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 5.1% 4.8%
08:10 AM
EA
ECB Draghi Speech
08:30 AM
GB
Average Earnings incl. Bonus AUG 2.2% 2.2% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Unemployment Rate AUG 4.3% 4.3%
08:30 AM
GB
Claimant Count Change SEP 1.7K -0.2K ®
09:00 AM
EA
Construction Output YoY AUG 1.6% 2.8% ®
11:45 AM
EA
ECB Praet Speech
12:00 PM
US
Fed Kaplan Speech
12:00 PM
US
Fed Dudley Speech
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits SEP 1215K 1272K ®
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits MoM SEP -4.5% 3.4% ®
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts SEP 1127K 1183K ®
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts MoM SEP -4.7% -0.2% ®
01:00 PM
RU
Retail Sales YoY SEP 3.1% 1.9%
01:00 PM
RU
Unemployment Rate SEP 5.0% 4.9%
02:15 PM
EA
ECB Cœuré Speech
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 13/OCT -5.731M -2.747M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 13/OCT 0.908M 2.490M
11:50 PM
JP
Balance of Trade SEP ¥670B ¥113B ®
11:50 PM
JP
Exports YoY SEP 14.1%