Week Ahead


Next week the most important events will be US Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan policy meetings and UK Prime Minister May speech on Brexit in Florence. Other key data include US flash PMIs, housing statistics and current account; UK retail trade and CBI factory orders; the Eurozone flash PMIs, consumer sentiment and inflation; and China house prices.

It will be a busy week in the US as the Federal Reserve will deliver its latest policy decision and to publish quarterly economic projections on Wendesday. While the central bank is likely to keep rates on hold, investors will be looking for details on plans to unwind the massive balance sheet it built up in the wake of the financial crisis. Other key data include: Flash PMIs; housing starts and building permits; existing home sales; current account; export and import prices; house prices by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index; NAHB Housing Market Index; and overall net capital flows. 

In the United Kingdom, Prime Minister Theresa May will give a speech on Brexit in Florence which may be crutial in the country’s negotiations over its divorce from the EU. Also, in the spotlight will be: retail sales, CBI industrial trends orders and public sector net borrowing data.


Elsewhere in Europe, important releases include flash PMI data for the Eurozone, Germany and France. Markets will also focus on the Eurozone consumer confidence and inflation rate; Germany ZEW economic sentiment; French GDP growth; and Norway interest rate decision.

In Japan, the Bank of Japan will meet, but no changes in the monetary policy are expected. The country's trade balance will also be watched.

In Australia, the RBA will publish its meeting minutes, which are expected to provide further details on the bank's outlook for policy. 

Other important releases include China house prices; South Africa, Indonesia, Philippines and Taiwan interest rate decisions; and Malaysia and South Africa and Canada inflation rate.

Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com
9/17/2017 5:20:33 PM



 


Friday September 15 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
04:00 AM
ID
Balance of Trade AUG $1.72B $-0.27B
07:00 AM
TR
Unemployment Rate JUN 10.2% 10.2%
08:35 AM
NG
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 16.01% 16.05%
08:50 AM
GB
BoE Vlieghe Speech
09:00 AM
EA
Balance of Trade JUL €23.2B €26.2B ®
10:00 AM
IE
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 1.4% -3.5% ®
10:00 AM
IE
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 5.8% 5.2% ®
10:30 AM
RU
Interest Rate Decision 8.5% 9%
11:00 AM
IL
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.3% -0.1%
11:00 AM
GB
BoE Quarterly Bulletin
12:25 PM
IN
Current Account Q2 $-14.3B $-3.4B
12:30 PM
US
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index SEP 24.40 25.2
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales MoM AUG -0.2% 0.3% ®
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM AUG 0.2% 0.4% ®
12:35 PM
IN
Balance of Trade AUG $-11.64B $-11.45B
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production YoY AUG 1.5% 2.4% ®
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production MoM AUG -0.9% 0.4% ®
02:00 PM
US
Business Inventories MoM JUL 0.2% 0.5%
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel SEP 95.3 96.8
EA
Eurogroup Meeting
EA
Ecofin Meeting
Saturday September 16 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
EA
Ecofin Meeting
Monday September 18 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
01:30 AM
CN
House Price Index YoY AUG 8.3% 9.7%
08:00 AM
IT
Balance of Trade JUL €6.56B €4.504B ®
09:00 AM
EA
Core Inflation Rate YoY Final AUG 1.2% 1.2%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Final AUG 1.5% 1.3%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.3% -0.5%
12:00 PM
PL
Employment Growth YoY AUG 4.6% 4.5%
02:00 PM
US
NAHB Housing Market Index SEP 64 67 ®
03:00 PM
GB
BoE Gov Carney Speech
08:00 PM
US
Overall Net Capital Flows JUL $-7.3B $5.9B ®
08:00 PM
US
Foreign Bond Investment JUL $-0.49B $19.7B
08:00 PM
US
Net Long-Term Tic Flows JUL $1.3B $34.4B
Tuesday September 19 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
01:30 AM
AU
House Price Index QoQ Q2 1.9% 2.2%
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Meeting Minutes
09:00 AM
EA
Construction Output YoY JUL 3.4% 4.3% ®
09:00 AM
EA
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index SEP 31.7 29.3
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Current Conditions SEP 87.9 86.7
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index SEP 17.0 10
11:45 AM
GB
BoE Kohn Speech
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits AUG 1300K 1230K
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits MoM AUG 5.7% -3.5%
12:30 PM
US
Current Account Q2 $-123.1B $-113.5B ®
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices MoM AUG 0.6% 0.5% ®
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts AUG 1180K 1190K ®
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts MoM AUG -0.8% -2.2% ®
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices MoM AUG 0.6% -0.1% ®
01:00 PM
RU
Unemployment Rate AUG 4.9% 5.1%
08:30 PM
US
API Weekly Crude Oil Stock SEP 1.443M 6.181M
11:50 PM
JP
Balance of Trade AUG ¥113.6B ¥422B ®
11:50 PM
JP
Exports YoY AUG 18.1% 13.4%
Wednesday September 20 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
04:00 AM
MY
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.7% 3.2%
06:00 AM
DE
PPI MoM AUG 0.2% 0.2%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 4.8% 4.6%
08:30 AM
GB
Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM AUG 1.0% 0.7% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY AUG 2.8% 1.7% ®
08:30 AM
GB
BoE FPC Meeting
08:30 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM AUG 1% 0.6% ®
08:30 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY AUG 2.4% 1.4% ®
01:00 PM
CH
SNB Quarterly Bulletin
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales MoM JUL -1.7% -1.3%
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales AUG 5.35M 5.44M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 15/SEP 4.591M 5.888M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 15/SEP -2125K -2.125M ®
06:00 PM
US
Fed Interest Rate Decision 1.25% 1.25%
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Economic Projections
06:30 PM
US
Fed Press Conference
EA
ECB Non-Monetary Policy Meeting
Thursday September 21 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Bulletin
03:00 AM
JP
BoJ Interest Rate Decision -0.1% -0.1%
04:00 AM
TH
Balance of Trade AUG $2.09B $-0.19B
04:30 AM
NL
Consumer Confidence SEP 23 26
04:30 AM
NL
Unemployment Rate AUG 4.7% 4.8%
05:45 AM
CH
SECO Economic Forecasts
06:00 AM
CH
Balance of Trade AUG CHF2.17B CHF3494M ®
07:00 AM
TR
Consumer Confidence SEP 68.7 71.1
08:00 AM
NO
Norges Bank Monetary Policy Report
08:00 AM
NO
Norges Bank Interest Rate Decison 0.5% 0.5%
08:20 AM
PH
Interest Rate Decision 3% 3%
11:00 AM
TR
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims SEP/16 259K 282K ®
12:30 PM
US
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index SEP 23.8 18.9
01:20 PM
ZA
Interest Rate Decision 6.75% 6.75%
01:30 PM
EA
ECB Draghi Speech
02:00 PM
EA
Consumer Confidence Flash SEP -1.2 -1.5
02:30 PM
US
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change SEP/15 97Bcf 91Bcf
07:00 PM
AR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 0.7% 1.2% ®
07:00 PM
AR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 2.7% 0.3% ®
EA
ECB General Council Meeting
Friday September 22 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
06:45 AM
FR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 0.5% 0.5%
07:00 AM
FR
Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 56.0 55.8
07:00 AM
FR
Markit Services PMI Flash SEP 57.1 54.9
07:30 AM
DE
Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 60.6 59.3
07:30 AM
DE
Markit Services PMI Flash SEP 55.6 53.5
08:00 AM
EA
ECB Draghi Speech
08:00 AM
EA
Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 58.2 57.4
08:00 AM
EA
Markit Services PMI Flash SEP 55.6 54.7
08:00 AM
ES
Balance of Trade JUL €-2.1B €-1.3B
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Industrial Trends Orders SEP 7 13
10:00 AM
US
Fed Williams Speech
12:30 PM
CA
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 0.9% 0.9%
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 1.4% 1.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.1% 0%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM JUL 0.4% 0.1% ®
01:30 PM
US
Fed George Speech
01:40 PM
ID
Interest Rate Decision 4.25% 4.5%
01:45 PM
US
Markit Composite PMI Flash SEP 54.6 55.3
01:45 PM
US
Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 53.0 52.8
01:45 PM
US
Markit Services PMI Flash SEP 55.1 56
02:15 PM
BR
Business Confidence SEP 55.7 52.6
05:30 PM
US
Fed Kaplan Speech
GB
Prime Minister May Speech on Brexit
Sunday September 24 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
DE
Federal Election
Monday September 25 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
12:30 AM
JP
Nikkei Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 52.6 52.6 ®
04:35 AM
JP
BoJ Kuroda Speech
07:00 AM
EA
ECB Constâncio Speech
07:00 AM
CH
Current Account Q2 CHF18.7B CHF12.1B ®
08:00 AM
DE
IFO Business Climate SEP 115.2 115.9
08:00 AM
DE
IFO Current Conditions SEP 123.6 124.7 ®
08:00 AM
DE
IFO Expectations SEP 107.4 107.8 ®
08:30 AM
GB
BoE FPC Statement
11:30 AM
TR
Business Confidence SEP 111.6 110.7
11:30 AM
TR
Capacity Utilization SEP 79.0% 78.8%
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index AUG -0.31 0.03 ®
12:30 PM
US
Fed Dudley Speech
01:00 PM
EA
ECB Draghi Speech
02:30 PM
US
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index SEP 21.3 17
02:45 PM
EA
ECB Cœuré Speech
04:40 PM
US
Fed Evans Speech
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence SEP 108 109.9 ®
10:30 PM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Tuesday September 26 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
06:45 AM
FR
Business Confidence SEP 110 111
08:30 AM
GB
BBA Mortgage Approvals AUG 41.807K 41.644K ®
01:00 PM
MX
Unemployment Rate AUG 3.50% 3.4% ®
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY JUL 5.8% 5.6% ®
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM JUL 0.7% 0.7%
01:30 PM
US
Fed Mester Speech
02:00 PM
US
CB Consumer Confidence SEP 119.8 120.4 ®
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM AUG -3.4% -5.5% ®
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales AUG 560K 0.58M ®
04:00 PM
FR
Unemployment Benefit Claims AUG 22.3K 34.9K
04:30 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
04:45 PM
US
Fed Yellen Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Weekly Crude Oil Stock SEP -0.761M 1.443M
Wednesday September 27 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
06:00 AM
CH
UBS Consumption Indicator AUG 1.53 1.46 ®
06:45 AM
FR
Consumer Confidence SEP 101 103
08:00 AM
IT
Business Confidence SEP 110.4 108.5 ®
08:00 AM
IT
Consumer Confidence SEP 115.5 111.2 ®
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM AUG 1.7% -6.8%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM AUG 0.2% 0.8% ®
01:00 PM
MX
Balance of Trade AUG $-2732M $-1.523B ®
01:15 PM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales MoM AUG -2.6% -0.8%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales YoY AUG -2.6% -1.3%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 22/SEP -1.846M 4.591M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 22/SEP 1107K -2125K
04:00 PM
CA
BoC Gov Poloz Speech
05:30 PM
US
Fed Bullard Speech
06:00 PM
US
Fed Brainard Speech
07:00 PM
US
President Trump tax speech
09:30 PM
US
Fed Rosengren Speech
Thursday September 28 2017 Actual Previous Consensus
04:30 AM
NL
Business Confidence SEP 8.5 5.4
06:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence OCT 10.8 10.9
06:35 AM
JP
BoJ Kuroda Speech
07:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate YoY Prel SEP 1.8% 1.6%
08:15 AM
GB
BoE Gov Carney Speech
09:00 AM
AU
RBA Debelle Speech
09:00 AM
EA
Business Confidence SEP 1.34 1.08 ®
09:00 AM
EA
Services Sentiment SEP 15.3 15.1 ®
09:00 AM
EA
Economic Sentiment SEP 113.0 111.9
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Sentiment SEP 6.6 5.0 ®
10:45 AM
ES
Business Confidence SEP 2.1 -0.4
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Prel SEP 1.8% 1.8%
12:30 PM
US
Corporate Profits QoQ Final Q2 0.1% -2.6%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ Final Q2 1.0% 2% ®
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 3.1% 1.2%
12:30 PM
US
Core PCE Prices QoQ Final Q2 0.90% 1.8%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Prices QoQ Final Q2 0.3% 2.2%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims SEP/23 272K 260K ®
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv AUG 1% 1% ®
01:45 PM
US
Fed George Speech
02:00 PM
US
Fed Fischer Speech
02:30 PM
US
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change SEP/22 58Bcf 97Bcf
03:00 PM
US
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index SEP 22 22
06:00 PM
MX
Interest Rate Decision 7.00% 7.0%
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence SEP 83 78
11:05 PM
GB
Gfk Consumer Confidence SEP -9 -10
11:30 PM
JP
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 0.7% 0.5%
11:30 PM
JP
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 0.7% 0.4%
11:30 PM
JP
Unemployment Rate AUG 2.8% 2.8%
11:50 PM
JP
Industrial Production YoY Prel <