Bulgaria Retail Sales YoY  Forecast


Retail Sales YoY in Bulgaria is expected to be 3.40 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales YoY in Bulgaria to stand at 4.27 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Bulgaria Retail Sales YoY is projected to trend around 2.70 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


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Bulgaria Consumer Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Consumer Confidence -25.4 -25.98 -27.77 -28.06 -28.67 -32.62
Retail Sales MoM 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.51 0.52 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 3 3.4 3.77 4.03 4.27 2.7
Consumer Credit 19374 19605 19727 19805 19848 19406
Gasoline Prices 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.2 1.2 1.15
Households Debt To Income 36.85 35.17 34.55 33.92 33.3 25.18
Consumer Spending 16288 17468 16001 16664 15395 16389
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions -27.2 -27.93 -27.8 -28.16 -28.61 -30.39
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -16.9 -16.54 -16.65 -16.57 -16.56 -16.5
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations -10.9 -11.54 -12.08 -12.63 -12.95 -15.12
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -31.4 -33.76 -34.36 -34.92 -35.47 -38.44
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 33.2 29.87 29.25 29.79 30.07 30.56
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -64.8 -65.79 -65.97 -66.26 -66.53 -68.55
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations 15.4 20.85 21.6 24.74 25.68 26.77