Bulgaria Retail Sales YoY  Forecast 2016-2020

Retail Sales YoY in Bulgaria is expected to be 2.98 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales YoY in Bulgaria to stand at 2.67 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Bulgaria Retail Sales YoY is projected to trend around 2.70 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

Bulgaria Retail Sales YoY
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Bulgaria Consumer Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Consumer Confidence -25.4 -27.7 -24.9 -26.12 -25.79 -25.89
Retail Sales MoM -0.5 0.28 0.6 0.25 0.25 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 2.6 2.98 3.4 2.67 2.67 2.7
Consumer Credit 19268 19633 19971 20285 20575 22520
Gasoline Prices 1.2 1.21 1.22 1.21 1.21 1.21
Households Debt To Income 36.85 36.54 35.75 35.51 35.28 32.69
Consumer Spending 15456 15462 17149 15469 17143 17113
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions -27.2 -27.53 -26.7 -26.21 -26.07 -26.33
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -16.9 -16.57 -16.69 -16.65 -16.66 -16.66
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations -10.9 -10.82 -10.21 -10.52 -10.35 -10.34
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -31.4 -31.56 -31.94 -32.02 -32.3 -32.03
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 33.2 31.19 28.7 27.41 30.44 29.52
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -64.8 -65.56 -65.82 -65.89 -65.7 -65.66
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations 15.4 19.64 18.11 17.8 19.88 18.13