Bulgaria Consumer Credit  Forecast


Consumer Credit in Bulgaria is expected to be 19371.48 Million BGL by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Consumer Credit in Bulgaria to stand at 19914.30 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Bulgaria Consumer Credit is projected to trend around 21022.01 Million BGL in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Bulgaria Consumer Credit
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Bulgaria Consumer Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Consumer Confidence -25.4 -27.7 -24.9 -26.12 -25.79 -25.89
Retail Sales MoM 0.3 0.32 0.6 0.51 0.51 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 2.4 2.89 3.4 3.57 3.85 2.7
Consumer Credit 19232 19371 19567 19747 19914 21022
Gasoline Prices 1.21 1.2 1.2 1.19 1.19 1.19
Households Debt To Income 36.85 36.54 35.75 35.51 35.28 32.69
Consumer Spending 16288 14690 16282 14696 16276 16246
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions -27.2 -27.53 -26.7 -26.21 -26.07 -26.33
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -16.9 -16.57 -16.69 -16.65 -16.66 -16.66
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations -10.9 -10.82 -10.21 -10.52 -10.35 -10.34
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -31.4 -31.56 -31.94 -32.02 -32.3 -32.03
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 33.2 31.19 28.7 27.41 30.44 29.52
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -64.8 -65.56 -65.82 -65.89 -65.7 -65.66
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations 15.4 19.64 18.11 17.8 19.88 18.13