Brazil IBC-Br Economic Activity Index  Forecast


Brazil IBC-Br Economic Activity Index
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Leading Economic Index in Brazil is expected to be 0.40 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Leading Economic Index in Brazil to stand at 0.17 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Brazil IBC-Br Economic Activity Index is projected to trend around 0.20 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Brazil Business Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Services PMI 46.9 51 51.8 51.3 51 52.7
Business Confidence 56.5 58.5 59 60 61 61
Manufacturing PMI 53.5 51 51.2 51.9 52 52.8
Composite Pmi 48.9 50.9 50.5 50.1 48.84 53.6
Industrial Production 5.3 3.7 2.8 4.1 2.6 2.1
Industrial Production Mom 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.14 1.1
Manufacturing Production 2.6 1 1.1 2.5 1.53 1.8
Capacity Utilization 77.7 78 78 78 78.71 79
Changes in Inventories 1437 15000 19000 28000 6865 21000
Total Vehicle Sales 168875 167992 165948 164206 162636 176000
Car Production 249089 186000 191000 191000 232163 190000
Car Registrations 204 201 200 197 195 180
Leading Economic Index 0.4 0.4 -0.1 0.1 0.17 0.2
Small Business Sentiment 52.6 49 50.2 50.3 53.87 51
Internet Speed 6819 8549 9002 9593 9947 12169
IP Addresses 26855780 25700196 25338992 24954191 24585854 22074778
Mining Production 2.2 -1.1 2.98 3.15 3.23 1.5
Competitiveness Index 4.14 4.06 4.13 4.13 4.06 4.18
Competitiveness Rank 80 81 79 79 79 77
Ease of Doing Business 125 115 115 115 124 112
Corruption Index 40 40 42 42 37 45
Corruption Rank 79 75 74 74 80 72
Steel Production 3045 3000 2951 2904 2860 2568