Brazil Business Confidence  Forecast


Business Confidence in Brazil is expected to be 58.50 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Business Confidence in Brazil to stand at 61.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Brazil Business Confidence is projected to trend around 61.00 in 2020, according to our econometric models.


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Brazil Business Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Services PMI 50.7 51 51.8 51.3 51 52.7
Business Confidence 55.7 58.5 59 60 61 61
Manufacturing PMI 50.9 51 51.2 51.9 52 52.8
Composite Pmi 51.1 50.9 50.5 50.1 49.64 53.6
Industrial Production 4 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.1
Industrial Production Mom -0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.13 1.1
Manufacturing Production 4.2 1 1.1 2.5 1.49 1.8
Capacity Utilization 77.8 78 78 78 79.01 79
Changes in Inventories -10014 15000 19000 28000 11435 21000
Total Vehicle Sales 168016 166693 164266 162512 161007 176000
Car Production 236944 186000 191000 191000 221242 190000
Car Registrations 199 199 196 194 192 177
Leading Economic Index -0.38 0.4 -0.1 0.1 0.17 0.2
Small Business Sentiment 53.4 49 50.2 50.3 55.06 51
Steel Production 2955 2871 2829 2788 2750 2501
Mining Production 2.6 -1.1 2.97 3.14 3.23 1.5
Competitiveness Index 4.14 4.06 4.13 4.13 4.06 4.18
Competitiveness Rank 80 81 79 79 79 77
Ease of Doing Business 123 115 115 115 127 112
Corruption Index 40 40 42 42 37 45
Corruption Rank 79 75 74 74 80 72