Fed Holds Rates as Expected, Signals December Hike


The Federal Reserve kept the target range for the federal funds rate at 2 percent to 2.25 percent during its November 2018 meeting, saying that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a strong rate while inflation remains near its 2 percent target. The Fed also reaffirmed its plans to continue raising rates gradually, suggesting a rate hike at its next meeting in December is likely.

FOMC Statement:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a strong rate. Job gains have been strong, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has declined. Household spending has continued to grow strongly, while growth of business fixed investment has moderated from its rapid pace earlier in the year. On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy remain near 2 percent. Indicators of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects that further gradual increases in the target range for the federal funds rate will be consistent with sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective over the medium term. Risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced.

In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 2 to 2-1/4 percent.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.

Fed Holds Rates as Expected, Signals December Hike


Federal Reserve | Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com
11/8/2018 7:27:30 PM